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The combination of the pandemic and the war in Ukraine have some historical precedence, as wars often follow pandemics due to the economic disruptions which result from such cataclysms. It seems as if the MELA system is replacing the old economic system, perhaps permanently. The N...
The outlook for corporate profit growth and price-earnings ratios could not be more fragile. Many companies in the goods-producing sector are facing sharply higher input costs. Rising yields are often paired with declining price-earnings ratios because one is using a higher yield ...
There's still a lot of money in circulation that the Fed created from MMT, and it has to go somewhere. Much of that money will start hiding in 2- to 5-year Treasuries securities while the yield curve remains inverted, but also, fortunately, much will go into stocks that serve as inflation...
Stock markets fell in the first quarter as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine destabilized the growth outlook, amplified concerns about rising interest rates and unleashed geopolitical risks. While the conflict has created many uncertainties, we believe the impact of persistent infla...
Practitioners focus on the difference between 10-year and 2-year yields. Academic studies mostly use the difference between 10-year yields and the three-month rate. Both term spreads have normally moved in sync, but this year, they show a wide divergence. Those who look at the...
The US economy added 431,000 jobs in March, which was about in line with expectations when accounting for previous months being revised upward. The economic damage from the coronavirus pandemic has mostly healed, with the unemployment rate low and the labor force participation rate ne...
We see the West’s drive for energy security slowing growth, increasing inflation and stoking demand for non-Russian fossil fuels to alleviate consumer pain. Data last week showed U.S. inflation at 40-year highs and a robust labor market. We expect the Fed to deliver on this yea...
This is a presentation of my general theories of market analysis culled from my articles and presentations throughout the years. Clearly, I'm a big believer in market sentiment as a primary driver for market direction. I outline my views of a recession at the end of this article. ...
Many see the large jump in 2021 earnings and extrapolate those gains further into 2022. However, if one looks at the growth rate from 2018 through 2022, it is far lower than prior growth rates. We are currently seeing materially lower earnings projections and planned tax increases tha...
The March 2022 headline unemployment rate ticked down to 3.6 percent, just a tad higher than the 3.5 percent rate in February 2020, right before the pandemic hit. That 3.5 percent, in turn, was the lowest level in more than 50 years. The payroll gains number, which economists tend to ...
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Transamerica Plans to Close and Liquidate Five Exchange-Traded Funds PR Newswire BALTIMORE , March 9, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Consistent with the recommendation of Transamerica Asset Management, Inc., the adviser to the series of the Transamerica ETF Trust, th...
DENVER , April 24, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Transamerica executives will have the honor of ringing the renowned closing bell at the New York Stock Exchange on Wednesday, April 24 to recognize the successful launch of DeltaShares® S&P EM 100 & Managed Risk ETF, the fifth DeltaSh...
DENVER , March 21, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Transamerica Asset Management, Inc. today announced the launch of the DeltaShares ® S&P EM 100 & Managed Risk ETF, an expansion of the DeltaShares by Transamerica suite of strategic beta exchange-traded funds (ETFs) introduced in Au...