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The dollar is the world's reserve currency. The US greenback is the foreign exchange instrument of choice for central banks, monetary authorities, governments, and supranational institutions when it comes to their reserves. While the euro, Japanese yen, and gold are also assets governments hol...
I have been involved in markets since the early 1980s, and until the aftermath of the global financial crisis in 2008, had never even considered negative interest rates. As a commodities trader, I am well-accustomed to markets that move to backwardation. When deferred prices are lower than nea...
Preamble On the 2nd of July 2019, we posted Part One of this article with the following summary points: After six years in the doldrums gold has suddenly come to life, however the two main influences on it are the U.S. dollar and the S&P 500. Gold has an inverse relati...
“O Gold! I still prefer thee unto paper, Which makes bank credit like a bark of vapor.” – Lord Byron, Don Juan. As the interlude in the trade war has ended, so have markets once again entered crisis mode. US President Donald Trump announced new plans on additional tari...
While many traders seek instant gratification from their trades, the gold market has only recently offered that potential to traders betting on higher prices. In fact, the last few years could be considered a mind-numbing experience for traders trying to figure out this market. The gold market...
By David Brady, CFA Bull Case Trend Gold continues to set higher and higher lows on a daily and weekly basis. The trend is clearly up, and until some kind of support is broken, the trend must be respected. The first such support on a daily basis is at 1488. Then it's 1400, and 1300...
For the first time starting from 2016, the US real rate is approaching zero, which means that the gold market has reached a critical moment. Ultimately, gold is a mirror image of the US real rate. It is very easy to prove it by demonstrating the mutual long-term dynamics of gold and the US r...
Gold has been all the rage lately as the yellow metal has made a return to the front page of the financial news. Gold broke out of its $331.30 trading range dating back to 2014 to the upside in June. The price has moved to over $1500 per ounce and remained not far below its most recent high at...
Gold is shining as an asset these days since the luster returned in June. After trading in a range since 2014, the price of gold experienced a technical break to the upside in June. Many fundamental factors support higher gold prices these days. Lower interest rates in the US and around the wo...
During the early morning of August 13, it looked like gold was poised to make another big move up again, after hitting a high of ~$1,534/oz. However, it was not meant to be as the yellow metal promptly sold off shortly after market open and is now currently trading at ~$1,501/oz. Source: G...
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