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One of the main drivers of gold prices recently has been the plunge in long-term interest rates. Gold is very negatively correlated to the change in real yields: when they fall, it is bullish for the gold price and when they rise, not so much. (Please note I'm not referring to nominal interest...
A paradigm is a mental framework. It has a both a positive pressure and a negative filter. It structures one's thoughts, orients them in a certain direction, and rules out certain ideas. Paradigms can be very useful; for example, the scientific method directs one to begin with facts, explain t...
The fast food world gave us an interesting case study in supply and demand last week. By now you’ve no doubt heard about The Chicken Sandwich, the surprise superstar menu item from Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen ([[QSR]]) that’s launched 1,000 blog posts, op-eds and thought pieces. Ac...
Gold: Fear Trade Or Something More? If there was an "asset class of the summer", it would have to be the gold complex. The price of physical gold has jumped +20% since May. The weekly chart of gold looks attractive for chartists. A three-year basing pattern then clean break above 2016 an...
Keep your eyes on the stars and your feet on the ground. – Theodore Roosevelt Many (including myself) have been looking at the gold market as of late. As I mentioned in a recent Lead-Lag Report, gold continues its strong performance, up nearly 9% over the last month. The commodity h...
By Jeffrey Halley With U.S. and Canadian markets closed overnight for Labor Day, it was British Prime Minister Boris Johnson that provided a fireworks display that Guy Fawkes would be proud of. With Parliament due to return from their summer recess today before being suspended from next we...
This is the monthly gold Variable Changing Price Momentum Indicator (VC PMI) report for September 1, 2019. "It does not take a master technical analyst to look at the gold and silver charts and see that the markets are in a major breakout to the upside," Equity Management Academy CEO Patrick...
Fear is a powerful beast. But we can learn to ride it. - Justine Musk The VIX, widely known as the “Fear Index,” has been kicking up some dust over the past four weeks or so. July’s average closing level was a boring 12.75, but August has been a different story. The ...
Over the past few weeks, we have received questions about whether gold or gold stocks are the best way to access the current bull market, so we thought it would be helpful to review how this bull market compares with those of the past. Bull markets can be classified as either secular (long-t...
The dollar is the king of currencies. The US currency is the reserve asset of choice for central banks around the world because the political and economic system of the wealthiest nation on earth is stable. The dollar is accepted legal tender around the globe. In the past, the value of one c...
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