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First, I don't believe this is QE and I also don't believe the overall situation is good for risk or inflation- hedged assets such as stocks or gold. It is a symptom of a larger problem in the US financial and banking system. The securities being bought are more short term on the curve mostly ...
The silver market activated a buy signal at 6:15 am today. At 6:30 we went long at $17.0150 and met the target right away of $17.05. The signal then went back to neutral. The artificial intelligence of the Variable Changing Price Momentum Indicator (VC PMI) tells you that when the market is ...
The gold market has attracted lots of attention since the yellow metal broke out of its long-term trading and consolidation range in June 2019. Gold had traded in a band from the December 2015 low at $1046.20 to the July 2016 high at $1377.50 since 2014. When the US Fed told markets to expect ...
Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on November 18, 2019. In a blog post in early September , I noted that the 10-year TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Security) yield had just gone negative and that the previous two times that this proxy for the real interest rate wen...
Co-produced with Trapping Value and Treading Softly In the first part of this series we wanted to bring up the facts, not opinions, but facts, about inflation. Despite an overwhelming consensus about "deflation" driven mainly by low bond yields, the data showed just how muc...
Today, we want to say two things about negative interest rates. The first is really simple. Anyone who believes in a theory of interest that says "the savers demand interest to compensate for inflation" needs to ask if this explains negative interest in Switzerland, Europe, and other countries...
Gold prices have been in decline since early September, but any dips represent buying opportunities ahead of a significant move higher. Gold prices have taken a break from their summer rally that saw the metal jump from around $1,280 to more than $1,550 an ounce. A period of consolidation ...
The gold futures market went on an impressive run in 2019. The low for the year came in April when the continuous futures contract on COMEX fell to a low at $1266 per ounce. In June, the US Federal Reserve lit a bullish fuse under the yellow metal when it told markets to expect interest rates ...
We are taking a short trade in gold based on the fact that the market closed below the Sell 1 (S1) level at $1,468.20. Automatically, when I come into the trading room, the automated artificial intelligence algorithm, the Variable Changing Price Momentum Indicator (VC PMI), provides the inform...
Last year, during the fourth quarter, all hell was breaking loose in markets across all asset classes. The price of oil was collapsing from $76.90 to $42.36 per barrel. Stock prices plunged, and a general environment of risk-off gripped investors and traders. The selling came from a fear that ...
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