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From 2011 to 2012, gold underwent a two-year topping process at the $1,800/oz handle. Gold is now up over 18% YTD and recently breached this critical resistance level. Fundamental and macro analyses tell me that the gold bull market is still in the early innings, and this technical breakout se...
Gold's Stock-To-Flow Ratio Gold's stock-to-flow model simply tries to measure the scarcity or abundance of gold. It does this by understanding the "stock" and the "flow" of gold. The stock is the amount of gold that has already been mined and currently exists in the marketplace. The "flow"...
It's been a tremendous first half of 2020 for the Gold Juniors Index ( GDXJ ), with several gold juniors enjoying triple-digit-returns and massively outperforming their benchmark. While many of the African explorers have also had impressive runs, they continue to trade at a deep discount to...
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Economic Backdrop The precious metals miners took a beating when COVID first reared its ugly head in the US in March. News of mine closures and restrictive measures throughout the mining supply chain, not to mention a disastrous fall in travel, had adversely affected mining operations. Falli...
Gold closed the week at US$1,770 almost US$20 higher than at the closing price on June 19th. The bulls not only pushed prices to a new eight-year high at US$1,780 but have once again responded with great strength to a bearish attack on Friday. Every dip, no matter how small, is bought immediat...
The problem with investing in gold is that it lacks a measurable value. Unlike stocks, gold lacks future free cash flows to discount into the present day. Gold is not a productive asset. What's an ounce of gold really worth? It is clear that gold has value. Its price fluctuates daily and t...
Rising economic and political uncertainty has boosted everyone's favorite precious metal in 2020. An ounce of gold was priced at just over $1,781 on Thursday (June 29), the highest since 2012, based on the continuous contract reported by StockCharts.com. Year to date, gold is up 17% vs. a 5....
There Are Decades Where Nothing Happens; And There Are Weeks Where Decades happen Vladimir Ilyich Lenin The land of no fundamentals Fundamentals do not seem to matter anymore. At least not as much as they used to. From employment, PMI, GDP, consumer spending to corporate profits,...
In simplistic terms, a 'black swan' event occurs when everyone is looking to their left, but then get hit from the right. Over my investing career, I've witnessed three black swan events: 1) In 1999, most investors thought the Internet had created a new paradigm for revenue-less companies....
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