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We are in a historic political, economic and social moment. A second lockdown could be more devastating than the first, with longer-term implications. The Fed has spent trillions of dollars in stimulus, which means that inflation is likely to occur, if not hyperinflation. Fo...
Within the various commodity sectors there are certain products that have outperformed others as the market recovered. Outperformance within groups is one of the keys to understanding the nature of commodity prices in relation to economic forecasts. Especially in the wake of chang...
Food inflation in the United States has averaged 4% since April, similar to the beginning of the stagflation of the 1970s. Agriculture prices bottomed out as food inflation peaked in June. Now wheat, soybeans and corn prices are on the rise, which means food inflation is about to wors...
A consolidation in gold continues, for now. Silver could become even more volatile than the yellow metal. Central bank selling- You can’t hold a bull market down for long. Seasonal lows set the stage for higher highs in 2021. GLTR has an over 83% exposure to gold an...
There's uncertainty about the US presidential election next week, doubts about any possible US stimulus package, tensions with China, and increasing COVID-19 cases with unemployment rates high and businesses closing. Gold and silver are bullish in the mid to long term. Europe is l...
Is gold's rally simply a response to the perception of the currency policies? In our recent discussion, veteran trader Jack Bouroudjian called the current environment "the perfect storm for gold due to the Fed and the economy." CME Group senior economist Eric Norland noted that "g...
Gold stocks are still correcting. Their necessary selloff to work off overboughtness and rebalance sentiment after their latest upleg peak hasn’t finished its mission. The major gold stocks have yet to revisit oversold levels and eradicate early August’s universal greed....
With governments printing money non-stop, gold is sure to rise in value. The IMF is developing a new model to deal with the current crisis and build prosperity for more people in the future. Gold's intense volatility is perfect for making profits day trading using a rigorous syste...
It's monetary inflation (i.e., money supply growth) that determines gold's value, not price inflation. Gold would need to increase to ~$2,400 to get back in line with M2. The U.S. will continue to fund these deficits with more debt and debt monetization. This will result in the ra...
Gold has been suppressed by a rally in 10-year Treasury yields. The dollar is still in the driver's seat for gold, however. I expect the dollar to weaken once the next U.S. stimulus is announced. A falling dollar will strengthen gold's price, pushing it above $2,100. For...
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