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As our latest Asset Allocation Outlook discusses in detail, we expect profit growth will accelerate, and the improvement in fundamentals should bode well for risk markets and cyclical assets in particular. We remain overweight equities in our multi-asset portfolios and select areas of...
Rapid money supply growth due to large US fiscal deficits has created a rapidly weakening US Dollar. US gold production has fallen to 1988 levels; Australian gold production will likely peak by 2021 and global production has likely already peaked. Based on historical ratios, and s...
The differential selling in the dominant gold ETFs looks to be slowing. The GLD+IAU holdings draws spawned by gold’s latest correction are moderating now that it has passed. Gold's subsequent upleg can accelerate after differential gold-ETF-share selling pressure ends. When tha...
Although gold and silver will finish 2020 below their highs for the year, gold is still headed for an annual return of close to 25%; silver around 45%. Assuming economic conditions begin normalizing next year, we would expect demand - especially from industrial users - to increase. ...
The Yield Curve/Federal Funds Rate Timer signals the switches from stocks to gold and vice versa near or during recession periods. Only three parameters are needed; the Effective Federal Funds Rate and the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields to determine the periods when the yield...
This bull market has been led by growth stocks, which is what we would expect from a strong dollar environment. The surge in growth stocks relative to value during the virus has been extreme. Like other domestic assets, US real estate has outperformed international. However, like EM s...
The world stands on the threshold of monetary hyperinflation with the US dollar leading the way. The final months of fiat money are coming into view. The final solution is bound to be with central banks and government treasury departments retaining their control as issuers of money by...
Why 2021 is shaping up to be a good year for commodities. The bull case for gold in 2021. The bull case for silver in 2021. For further details see: 2021: A Bullish Year For Gold, Silver And Oil?
Gold, the Fed funds rate, and inflation (relative to the 2y T-yield) are repeating the pattern from 2008-9. Gold could be set to rise over the next several years. Short-term, technically, and in relation to the US dollar/reverse repo market, gold is close to overhead resistance (1...
William Purpura is a veteran commodities futures trader and Chairman of the COMEX Governors Committee. In this video, I talk to William about the workings of the COMEX, and also his views on the LBMA. Also covered are the growth and importance of the gold markets in Dubai and Chin...