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There has been considerable discussion in recent weeks about the prospect and threat of rising inflation. The latest reading of the government’s CPI (Consumer Price Index) continues to suggest that inflation so far remains low. The ongoing threat of inflation could lead to ...
Quick on the heels of its $1.9tln stimulus package, the Biden White House is now doubling down on another $3tln infrastructure package. With respect to the SLR exemption that the Fed decided not to extend, the Fed did say that it would review the SLR requirements. With respect to ...
Breaking below $1,800 in January opened the way for lower lows in gold. Bulls are hoping that we will begin a consolidation phase and overtake downtrend resistance levels. Options Sentiment for gold has reached extremely low levels, and this means that options market participants...
The unique characteristics of the Covid pandemic recession may lead to a shorter cycle - both because of the unprecedented and intense stimulus, and because of unresolved issues that characterized the late stage of the previous cycle. Because the Fed is planning on being reactive, inv...
Anyone with a commitment to commodities over the past few decades of prominent disinflationary forces has endured considerable pain. In this blog, we attempt to make the case that something that lost over 12% a year on average for more than a decade could play an interesting role in a...
Recently, nominal interest rates have been rising faster than inflation, creating a headwind for the gold price. The rise in rates has already been dramatic and there is reason to believe it may be nearer to its end than its beginning. At the same time, inflation appears to be on ...
The magnitude of the stimulus over the past year may be driving inflationary expectations. This, combined with potential synchronized global growth and supply constraints, may all serve as tailwinds for commodity producers. VanEck Commodity Strategist and Portfolio Manager Roland ...
The 10-year bond is rising in yield, which is putting some short-term pressure on the market. We expect, based on the economic situation and past Fed comments, they're probably not going to do anything. Rising interest rates may be bullish for metals. We're just beginning to s...
When it comes to assessing gold market sentiment, the Commitments of Traders (COT) report provides by far the most useful data. The COT situation tells us that speculator enthusiasm for gold is now at a low ebb relative to the past couple of years, which is bullish given that speculat...
It makes no sense that shortages of physical have developed while the prices of gold and silver have been declining the past few months. The fundamental factors that drive gold and silver keep getting stronger by the day. The mining stocks are once again historically cheap relativ...
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