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Concerns of a rising U.S. dollar may pose a hindrance to initiating commodity exposure from outside the U.S. The launch of new non-U.S.-dollar-denominated S&P GSCI Single Commodities Indices could help commodity exposure seekers gain access while alleviating the external currency ...
Current economic data is certainly strong - although not universally so - but the bond and currency markets may be pointing to some weakness ahead. The copper to gold ratio which peaked in early March, leading bond yields by a full month, has recently resumed its uptrend. The comm...
Equity markets have relentlessly rallied over the past 12 months, pushing valuations to extreme levels based on traditional metrics. Real economic growth in one year is limited, but nominal growth due to inflation is not. When inflation peaked in the early 1980s, gold had outperfo...
OPEC+ production is down because OPEC decided to do so. The price crash in 2020 resulted in a production decline already in 2020, as some producers came close to cash costs. The European Union adopted a regulatory framework with a dual mandate that not just targets fuel economy bu...
The precious metals sector looks to be breaking out from its consolidation. The long-term bull case for gold hasn't changed. This appears an excellent opportunity for investors to go tactically long the sector. For further details see: Gold Is Breaking Out (Time To Buy P...
At long last, the precious metal appears to be breaking out of its near nine-month consolidation period following a strong run in 2019 and the first half of 2020. From a sentiment perspective, gold is still being viewed relatively negatively on the whole. Seasonality also looks to...
In our gold price framework, we identified three main drivers for gold prices: central bank policy (through real-interest rate expectations and QE), changes in central bank inventories and longer dated energy prices. Longer term energy prices were the main contributor to the sharp gol...
Gold rallied last week toward the top of a down-trending channel that has been in force since prices peaked last summer. A strong push above $1,800 (confirmed by a weekly close) would carry hugely bullish implications for the remainder of the spring. New all-time highs could soon be i...
With the exception of palladium, precious metals markets have lagged behind other asset classes in 2021. Silver is up 3.2% since last Friday's close to trade at $26.23 per ounce. Platinum is unchanged for the week to trade at $1,223. History suggests that periods of rising inflati...
Stocks were up but the bigger winners were commodities and real estate. With the dollar down foreign markets also performed pretty well with Europe continuing to outperform. Growth beat value again last week but still lags significantly YTD. Large cap stocks also had another good week...
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