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Status of pension deficits? Will the economy recover? How are pension funds doing? For further details see: How Pension Funds Can Secure Retirement Benefits After COVID
When the markets goes on the make a new high and all economically sensitive sectors such as these do not confirm the new high, it is a clear signal the new highs are not being supported by economic fundamentals. We are seeing significant bearish divergences in almost all measures of b...
The economy is loaded with unwanted cash, and the return on that cash (and the return on almost all fixed-income instruments) is hugely negative. Inflation this year will take about $2 trillion out of the pockets of those owning Treasuries and give it to the federal government. Ca...
Gold succumbed to dollar strength, falling 5.1% over the same three-day period, and trading below multiple technical support levels. Sector fundamentals could also be an important driving factor. More persistent and higher inflation would offset the effect of any rise in rates, ca...
Gold and bitcoin have seen a negative correlation recently, with gold rising 7.5% during bitcoin’s recent price decline. Bitcoin, gold, and other commodities derive much of their value from limited supply and growing consumer demand during periods of increased inflation and gov...
Global stocks are all over the place as some indexes fall into correction as others continue to extend higher into record territory. Asian stocks should have a strong open following the PBOC’s RRR cut. This is quite the pivot by the central bank and it should support the notion...
In 2021, energy is where the money is going. Money is flowing out of Momentum stocks this year, and much of it is going into Value names. Commodities are having a strong showing compared to last year. For further details see: If You Want To Know Where The Market Action I...
As we mark the halfway point of the year, the economy is in full recovery mode and asset prices are soaring. As we enter the second half of the year though, it is hard to ignore some contradictions. Economic growth in H1 is going to print a big number, and yet, the 10-year Treasury no...
Could oil prices hit $100/barrel? Supply pressures driving copper price down. Could we see $2,000/oz for gold again? For further details see: Commodities Roundup: Oil Prices Keep Surging, But Gold And Copper Falter
The misery index is the sum of the inflation rate and the unemployment rate, and has historically been highly correlated with the ratio of the S&P 500 over gold prices. Despite rising inflation and an elevated unemployment rate, the S&P 500 is trading at multi-year highs relat...
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