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Jackson Hole has been heavily discussed since the Fed’s supposed “dovish pivot” last month when it adopted a more data-dependent stance. While policymakers have pushed back against the idea of a pivot, markets have continued to price in a slower path of tightening...
Despite a solid fundamental outlook, headwinds have been present. The commodity run-up has clearly benefited Latin American fiscal and external accounts. Given the political currents in the region, concerns surrounding the political outlook will likely remain at the forefront. ...
Analysts have been bullish about a supply squeeze for months because sky-high natural gas prices forced record electricity costs across Europe. After all the volatility these last twelve months, the markets are now laser-focused on the traditional driver of global metals demand and pr...
China’s National Bureau of Statistics reported that retail sales grew by 2.7% in July - nearly half as much as the consensus forecast of 5%. Industrial production also missed the 4.6% estimate with an increase of 3.8% as the Chinese economy joined the US in shrinking during the...
After weakness tied to Shanghai lockdowns in April and May, the Chinese economy and capital markets rebounded rapidly as the economy reopened. Adjustments to epidemic prevention and control policies, more comprehensive economic stimulus, and fresh social spending are all possibilities...
In April 2022, four rural banks in the Chinese province of Henan announced the freezing of what turned out to be roughly 40 billion renminbi (or about $6 billion) of retail deposits. Within three months, a group of homebuyers around China threatened to stop making mortgage payments on...
CPI numbers show an easing of inflation. Will the Fed keep raising rates? China inflation sits at 2.7%. Does that impact their government policies? A 45% recession likelihood projection. What’s driving that number? Inflation, recession, and China are the key topic...
The global business climate is deteriorating in mid-2022, putting forecasters on recession watch. Real global GDP is likely to have declined in the second quarter of 2022, pulled down by contractions in emerging Europe, mainland China, and the United States. Adverse financial cond...
Almost every month this year, the “discounts” on financial assets from their year-end 2021 prices have gotten larger, leaving the S&P 500 with its worst first half-of-the-year return since 1962 (narrowly avoiding its worst first half since the Great Depression). Ther...
The COVID-19 pandemic and its associated impact on economic growth have triggered a prolonged period of oil price volatility. While China is by far the largest importer of Oman crude, accounting for 86% of its exports, according to its Statistical Year Book 2021, all of Oman’s ...
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2024-06-11 04:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-21 00:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 04:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...