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The US 10-year breakeven rate (the difference between the yield of the inflation-protected security and the conventional note yield) rose from 2.60% at the end of last year to a high a little bit above 3.05% on April 22. April retail sales are expected to rise by a solid 1% by the med...
The Russian invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent imposition of sanctions by a range of governments have served to reset the global geopolitical compass, with an immediate impact on oil and gas markets and investments. Elevated prices and new sources of demand will create opportuniti...
It was a tremendous week of market volatility for every asset class on Wall Street. It is still all about inflation and what will be the reaction from central banks. A challenging inflation and growth mix have driven investor concerns that the Fed won’t be able to deliver a...
Movements in global sector indices are consistent with investors reappraising portfolio allocations and shifting objectives towards capital preservation in real terms. The volatility in interest rate expectations has flowed into FX markets. We maintain a neutral outlook on global ...
I focus on five myths about China’s economy and its financial system. China’s economy is in transition as it grapples with the challenges of transitioning from growth based on unsustainable levels of investment (above all in property) to something else. Its focus may...
Many investors, however, questioned the government’s ability and determination to achieve the target, and the latest outbreak has intensified bearish sentiment. Under pressure from the virus and lockdowns, the outlook for household consumption has deteriorated. If second-qu...
From copper to iron and aluminum, industrial commodities have been exhibiting a rather synchronized setback going back to the end of March, start of April. This despite supply bottlenecks and production shortfalls which continue to plague each. As with Eurobond prices and credit s...
The pace of global economic growth slowed in April to the lowest since the downturn of the second quarter of 2020. While an easing of COVID-19 containment measures on average globally helped to sustain service sector growth in April, the rate of expansion in the service sector fell to...
We slightly reduce risk on a worsening macro outlook. We upgrade European government bonds and investment grade credit, and downgrade Chinese assets. The Fed raised rates by 0.5% last week - the largest increase since 2000 - and signaled similar rises ahead. Long-term yields shot up a...
The most recent macroeconomic figures show that the Chinese slowdown is much more severe than expected and not only attributable to the Covid-19 lockdowns. It is easy to use the Covid-19 lockdowns as the reason for the weakening of the Chinese economy but that would be a gross simplif...
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2024-06-11 04:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-21 00:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 04:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...