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The global recovery continues but momentum has weakened, hobbled by the pandemic. Compared to our July forecast, the global growth projection for 2021 has been revised down marginally to 5.9 percent and is unchanged for 2022 at 4.9 percent. The dangerous divergence in economic pro...
Global equities rose through most of the third quarter but gave up most of their gains in a volatile September. As the forces driving stock returns rapidly change in our COVID-scarred world, we believe active managers can help investors effectively navigate the recovery’s uncer...
Leverage can be a double-edged sword, as it can be positive, but also represents a source of risk. Emerging market equities also hold attractive valuations. Cash flows are another reason why we like emerging markets. For further details see: 3 Reasons We Remain Bullish O...
The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earning...
There is one critical problem for supposing the ever-so-slight calm in inflation mean anything. The Fed’s own argument of the “base effect” now works against it. One of the Fed’s biggest excuses for claiming inflation would be transitory was that most of it...
Early lockdown measures and supply chain disruptions induced a spike in consumer food prices. Ocean freight rates as measured by the Baltic Dry Index (a measure of shipping costs) have increased around 2-3 times in the last 12 months. From their trough in April 2020, international...
Since the start of earnings season, stocks have been range-bound and volatility has risen, up around 40% from the early April low. Cyclical sectors have been leading since the fall, while tech has been a funding source, as investors reposition for the fastest growth in decades. In...
Emerging markets are still expected to lead the global economic recovery, with forecasted 2021 GDP growth of 6.7% vs. 6.4% for the United States. EM equities rose in May and outpaced developed market stocks. We believe that EMs will continue to show resilience with many countries ...
As economies emerge from pandemic restrictions, consumers are shifting spending from goods to more travel and dining out. While there are reasons for optimism, a long-term economic boom is still very much a question. Blu Putnam and Erik Norland discuss the prospects for a 2020s ec...
Investor sentiment and behavior, whether retail or institutional, capture the market "mood"-is it optimistic or pessimistic? The three most commonly referenced confidence indicators are the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index...
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2024-06-11 04:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-21 00:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 04:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...