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Fundamentals are in place for a major EM crisis, and I see reasonable probabilities of an unfolding crisis in Turkey providing the catalyst. Meanwhile, complacency in "developed" markets remains formidable. Is systemic crisis even possible while the major central banks are running ful...
We believe the Brazilian bond market has overpriced policy tightening over the next 12 to 18 months. Real rates will likely remain quite low for some time given the protracted post-COVID recovery and available spare capacity in the economy. While Brazil is among the first major EM...
Considering the major jump in volatility at the end of February, for our latest survey we sought an updated consensus over the managers' thoughts on the speed of economic recovery. Additionally, we asked what their inflation expectations going forward are, and whether higher rates in ...
In reaction to the COVID-19 outbreak last March, emerging markets (EMs) initially sold off more sharply than developed markets (DMs), but saw a stronger recovery owed to higher commodity prices and robust demand from China. Continued performance in EMs is likely to be driven by a weak...
Emerging markets debt could benefit in 2021 from a favorable combination of factors - such as improving global growth and ample liquidity conditions. The positive global macro backdrop should be conducive to risk-taking that encourages a rotation away from safe havens such as the U.S....
The swift run-up in asset prices and CEF discounts suggests that easy gains from beta exposure are going to be harder to come by going forward. This dynamic points to alpha strategies as a way to keep total returns humming along. One such strategy - CEF rotations - involves rotati...
We expect the Chinese economy to experience a solid year of growth. The IMF is currently forecasting 7.9% real GDP growth in 2021 - well above trend growth. On the other hand, we continue to think that monetary policy is going to become less accommodative. On an international leve...
In the midst of the unprecedented COVID shock, many EM central banks quickly shifted to extraordinarily easy monetary policy. For speculative-grade EM sovereign bonds, the worries are more structural in nature. There are plenty of global "push" factors to encourage investors to mo...
After an extremely challenging 2020, we expect a strong global economic recovery in 2021. Historically, EM crises have been driven by unsustainable debt dynamics, currency crises, and/or financial sector disruptions. This is not the case today. Valuations in the EM hard currency s...
Climate change has made the world a riskier place. Financial risks created by climate change are felt more acutely by developing economies, especially those that are not adequately prepared. As countries seek a sustainable path of recovery from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic...
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2024-07-16 21:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-10 09:00:25 ET Stone Harbor Emergin Markets Income Fund (EDF) declaring a stock dividend of $0.06 per share on Ex-Date : July 11, 2024. Shareholders on record as of July 11, 2024 are eligible for the dividend. The payment date is scheduled for July 30, 2024, and the declarat...
Virtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund (NYSE: AIO), Virtus Convertible & Income 2024 Target Term Fund (NYSE: CBH), Virtus Convertible & Income Fund (NYSE: NCV), Virtus Convertible & Income Fund II (NYSE: NCZ), Virtus Diversified Income &...