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2024-01-15 08:52:01 ET Summary The Treasury curve moved down 26 basis points at 2 years and down 9 basis points at 10 years over the last week. As a result, the current negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread narrowed to negative 18 basis points this week compared to negative 35 b...
2024-01-15 06:44:12 ET Summary Disconnect between Fed policy and risk asset prices will worsen from 2024. Growth of debt issuance has a significant impact on bond yields and stock market performance. Debt issuance is becoming a primary determinant of risk asset prices. There i...
2024-01-15 05:25:00 ET Summary The first price index release of the year brings some less-than-welcome news: Inflation has ticked up once again. The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced the Consumer Price Index increased 0.3 percent in December. We need to compare the current ...
2024-01-15 02:14:00 ET Summary Options trading boomed while hedging in-the-money call options provided a key source of marketplace liquidity generation. Yields jumped, CDS prices rose, spreads widened, and risk premiums generally increased. With no end in sight for the Ukraine...
2024-01-14 04:26:00 ET Summary The SEC finally approved a Bitcoin ETF. The Winklevoss twins filed for the initial Bitcoin ETF in July of 2013 so it’s been 10 years coming. Thursday’s CPI came in a little hotter than expected. And this got the usual suspects talking a...
2024-01-14 00:20:00 ET Summary Looking back at last year, the best investment decision would have been to ignore diversification. Throughout history, we’ve seen numerous instances where capital heavily concentrates on a single company or a small cluster of stocks. We ar...
2024-01-13 02:50:00 ET Summary Permanent job losses have already accelerated in line with the onset of the past three recessions since 1995. Since 1969, the longest Fed pause time between the last rate hike and the first cut was 14 months (July 2006 to September 2007), and the ave...
2024-01-13 02:35:00 ET Summary The Federal Reserve has fueled market conviction that the good old days of extremely low interest rates and abundant liquidity are soon to return. This promises to be quite a challenging year for investors. I think macro uncertainty is especially hig...
2024-01-12 22:35:00 ET Summary Federal Reserve policy rates are set to fall in 2024. However, clear evidence that inflation has been tamed likely needs to emerge before cuts can commence, likely around mid-year. While a smooth landing is still far from certain, rate cuts accompani...
2024-01-12 04:15:00 ET Summary Core services account for over 61% of the Consumer Price Index, and that’s where inflation has gotten entrenched. Core CPI accelerated to 0.31% in December from October, the second month in a row of acceleration and fastest increase since Sept...
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2024-07-11 02:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 04:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-10 14:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...