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Summary Both the Empire Manufacturing Survey and Philly Fed business outlook are expected to remain in contraction territory. Earnings season heats up as we hear from Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Netflix, and Tesla. Japan may need to intervene in the FX market again as the ...
Summary CCP's 20th Congress begins over the weekend, and Xi is expected to deliver a speech on Sunday, which will likely set the general tone. The eurozone reported a larger than expected August trade deficit of 50.9 bln euros. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ posted large key rever...
Summary Asia-Pacific equities lost ground, but Europe’s STOXX 600 is trying to snap a six-day decline. US equity futures are firm. The US dollar is trading with a heavier bias. Among EM currencies, central Europe is faring better than Asia. Overview Th...
Summary Until the war is over and energy markets have normalized, it is hard to put a floor on the euro, as the situation can deteriorate rather quickly. Further rate hikes by the Fed and aggressive QT will put more upside pressure on the dollar and more downside pressure on the e...
Summary The dollar reached its highest level against the yen since the recent intervention. The Canadian dollar has fallen to its lowest level in two and a half years, and the New Zealand dollar is approaching the 2020 extreme. Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan re-opened after ye...
Summary China’s markets re-opened. The CSI 300 was off 2.2% and the Hang Seng dropped nearly 3%. After falling 1.2% at the end of last week, Europe’s STOXX 600 gapped lower today and is off almost 0.5%. The S&P 500 may open by the pre-weekend low, while the N...
Summary US employment data were sufficiently strong, and the unemployment rate fell back to cyclical lows of 3.5%. The dollar rose against most G10 currencies last week, helped by the gains after the employment data. The Norwegian krone was the strongest (1.7%), helped by risi...
Summary The Fed is primarily concerned with what is happening with inflation. This earnings season will likely be filled with hiring freezes/layoff announcements, cost-cutting saving measures, and mostly downbeat outlooks. The West is working towards fresh sanctions and potent...
Summary Volatility has picked up sharply in FX markets as the strong dollar pressure tests financial market vulnerabilities around the world. Some are saying that policymakers need to produce a new Plaza agreement to deliver an orderly reversal of the dollar. Until the Fed feels i...
Summary Asia-Pacific bourses followed yesterday’s US loss. Europe’s STOXX 600 has steadied after opening lower. US futures are narrowly mixed ahead of the US jobs report. The dollar is softer against the G10 currencies, but intraday momentum indicators are stretc...
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