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Summary We had been suggesting the dollar was in the process of carving out a significant high. The Dollar Index peaked on September 28, a little shy of 114.80. While we accepted the turn would be dramatic, our immediate concern is that by nearly any near-term technical measures, ...
Summary The softer-than-expected US inflation figures unleashed significant market adjustments that continue to ripple through the capital markets. Gold has soared on the back of the weaker dollar and on rate-peak ideas. The softer-than-expected US October CPI has dramatically...
Summary Eurozone liabilities among and between the member countries are settled in a payment system known as TARGET2. Markets know there is a contingent liability. They know that Germany is a much stronger credit than Italy is. Either way, the market agents are gradually deman...
Summary Some of the risk-off activity is being linked to new Covid restrictions in some of China's largest cities. Also, the US reports CPI today. Asia-Pacific bourses fell, led by Hong Kong, and Europe’s STOXX 600 is off for a second day. US equity futures are slightly fir...
Summary Japanese, Chinese and Hong Kong shares fell, but strong foreign buying lifted Taiwan’s shares by nearly 2.2% and South Korea’s Kospi rose more than 1%. The STOXX 600 is snapping a three-day advance, and its 0.85% decline is giving back yesterday’s gain...
Summary Equity markets are mostly firmer, but nearly all the large markets, except China/Hong Kong, are rising in the Asia-Pacific region. Europe’s STOXX 600 is posting small gains, the third session in a row. US futures are firm. The dollar has come back better bid tod...
Summary Asia-Pacific equities rallied, led by Hong Kong and mainland stocks that trade in Hong Kong. US futures are firm. Europe’s STOXX 600 opened lower but recovered, and is around 0.5% higher after the 1.8% gain before the weekend. The dollar is mixed. The dollar blo...
Summary News that the US audit process of Chinese companies, required to prevent delisting has proceeded faster than expected helped lift Chinese stocks. In its monetary policy statement, the Reserve Bank of Australia upgraded its inflation outlook and pared its growth forecasts. ...
Summary The dollar is stronger, while stocks and bonds have been sold. The market read the FOMC statement dovish. The risk is for continued deterioration of the US trade balance. Overview: The Fed delivered the expected 75 bp rate hike, and although it says it wi...
Summary Many expect the Fed to signal it will return to a 50 bp move next month, but we are not convinced that it will go beyond indicating that 50 bp or 75 bp will be debated in December, depending on the data. Equities in Asia-Pacific and Europe rose. US futures are slightly fir...
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