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Summary The G10 currencies traded with a heavier bias against the dollar last week. The euro tested the $1.06 level at the start and end of last week and both times good sellers appeared. The modification of China's vaccination and quarantine protocols has spurred the biggest two-we...
Summary The CSI 300 of mainland shares rose 1% today and almost 3.3% for the week. Japan’s 1% gain today ensured a gain on the week, while the other large regional markets rose today to narrow the weekly loss. Europe’s STOXX 600 is snapping a five-day drop with a modest ga...
Summary Amid the crosscurrents, two themes have prevailed during the post-pandemic years, which lend some perspective to the macroeconomic roadmap ahead: namely, the bipolar swings in macro policy and the forces of economic normalization. After one of the worst years for fixed income as...
Summary The weakness of US shares yesterday is taking a toll today, though Hang Seng and the index of mainland shares that trade there are up on the easing of some Covid protocols. Europe’s STOXX 600 is off for a fifth day, its longest losing streak in nearly two months. US futur...
Summary Hong Kong and the index of mainland shares that are listed there led the regional decline with 3.2-3.3% losses. Europe’s STOXX 600 is off about 0.65% in late morning turnover, the fourth day of losses. US futures are trading with a lower bias as well. The dollar i...
Summary As Treasury yields have declined by a similar magnitude as to what they did last summer, stocks have rallied by a similar magnitude. The S&P 500 Volatility Index is a few ticks below its August low and close to its lows for the year, save for early January, when we had a bit...
Summary The market wants to believe that the more focused zero-Covid efforts are really a pivot, even though Chinese officials deny it and virus cases are surging. The Spanish government has been negotiating with banks for two months about giving some relief to households facing a...
Summary The dollar is sliding anew today, sharply lower (~-1%) against half of the G10 currencies and weaker against most emerging market currencies. US equity futures are extending yesterday’s gains. Europe’s STOXX 600 is struggling to extend its rally into a fo...
Summary Most Asia-Pacific markets fell, while Europe’s STOXX 600 is posting a small gain. US futures are sporting modest losses. The dollar is mostly firmer after last week’s sharp losses. The yen is leading to the downside with about a 1.3% loss, while the C...
Summary We had been suggesting the dollar was in the process of carving out a significant high. The Dollar Index peaked on September 28, a little shy of 114.80. While we accepted the turn would be dramatic, our immediate concern is that by nearly any near-term technical measures, ...
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