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Fears that the Chinese lockdowns to fight Covid, which have extended for four weeks in Shanghai, are not working, and may be extended to Beijing has whacked equity markets, arrested the increase in bond yields, and lifted the dollar. The euro traded to almost $1.0705 in late Asia Paci...
The dollar is surging into the weekend, amid tumbling stocks and rising rates. There has been a sharp rise in the implied yield of the December Euribor futures. The market now sees the terminal rate for Fed funds near 3.50% next year. For further details see: Dollar Surg...
ECB comments suggesting a rate hike as early as July may be gaining momentum and is helping extend the euro's gains to an eight-day high near $1.0935. The Chinese yuan's drop has extended for a third session. Chinese President Xi defended the Covid policy seemingly over economic suppo...
The record-long yen slide has stalled just shy of JPY129.50, even though the Bank of Japan defended its Yield-Curve Control cap on the 10-year bond and will continue to do so for the next four sessions. The euro is bouncing today after successfully testing the ECB-induced low from las...
Benchmark 10-year bonds yields in the US and Europe are at new highs for the year. Amid a historic sell-off in bonds, foreign investors have bought a record amount of US securities over the six months through February. The surge in US interest rates warns that the interest-rate se...
The Fed funds futures market has nearly priced in three 50 bp hikes and 3 quarter-point moves before the end of the year. A stronger currency may dilute efforts to ease financial conditions. The Federal Reserve has begun what is expected to be among the most aggressive tightening ...
After a long weekend, Wall Street is ready to dive back into earnings season. With the ECB taking its time to wrap up bond-buying and start raising rates, it would take something quite substantial to rock the boat. It would appear gold isn’t going to extend its winning run ...
Despite signs that the Chinese economy is weakening amid the Covid lockdowns, port congestion, and a surge in energy and metals prices, Beijing failed to deliver the expected cut in the benchmark one-year Medium-Term Lending Facility. The ECB affirmed its intention to end its bond pur...
The dollar is mostly heavier against the major currencies, with the Swedish krona and New Zealand dollar the strongest. In any event, the takeaway from the ECB meeting will be about the forward guidance on its asset purchases. As anticipated, the Bank of Canada will stop recycling...
Currently yielding 2.78%, US 10-year US Treasury notes pay out far more than the 10-year bonds of any of the major European nations. The war in Ukraine is friendly for the dollar because as the world’s reserve currency, it is considered the safest place to be. We’ll ...
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