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Currently yielding 2.78%, US 10-year US Treasury notes pay out far more than the 10-year bonds of any of the major European nations. The war in Ukraine is friendly for the dollar because as the world’s reserve currency, it is considered the safest place to be. We’ll ...
The issue of the dollar is part of the debate over global capital flows, but capital flows are just the obverse of trade and current account flows. In recent weeks, some analysts have argued that, as a consequence of the sanctions imposed on Russia, the world is likely to see a shift ...
US and European natural gas prices are firmer. The accelerating price pressures require an adjustment in ECB policy, but no move is expected. The Bank of Canada will likely signal the beginning of the unwinding of its balance sheet. For further details see: Now, It Is Ca...
China's National Press and Publication Administration published a list of 45 new titles on its website late yesterday. Germany's ZEW investor survey was poor, but not quite as bad as the median guesstimates in Bloomberg's survey. The signal emanating from Fed officials is monetary...
The Fed has decided to go from super-easy money to quickly tightening monetary policy, which is causing a spike in Treasury yields that looks dangerous to me. Treasury yields have nearly doubled since the Omicron panic in late November, touching 2.73% on Friday. They are flirting with...
Macron's victory in the first round of the French presidential contest lifted the euro, which is resilient to the broader greenback gains scored on the back of the continued rise in yields. The euro initially gapped higher in Asia as the French election news spurred a quick short-cove...
After the equity losses in the US yesterday, including a 2.2% drop in the NASDAQ, Asia-Pacific equities struggled. The unexpectedly large drop in German factory orders reported yesterday appeared to have little impact on industrial output. The US dollar posted a bullish hammer can...
Federal Reserve Governor Brainard's suggestion that of a rapid unwind of the Fed's balance sheet stoked a bond market sell-off that is continuing today, rippling through the capital markets. Rising US yields has helped lift the greenback to JPY124. The dollar's multiyear high set in l...
The Reserve Bank of Australia hinted that it was getting closer to a rate hike. The Australian dollar was bid to its best level since the middle of last year. The euro posted a key reversal last Thursday, turning back from a four-week high near $1.1185 and settled below the previous d...
The EU surely has more to lose from backfiring Russian sanctions than anyone else, given its rather large trade relationship with the Russian Federation and its dependence on Russian natural gas and oil. One puzzling development has been the amazing recovery of the Russian ruble, whic...
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