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Japan's preliminary May service and composite PMI were revised higher, suggesting that the world's third-largest economy continues to recover from the Covid restrictions and mid-March earthquake. Australia's preliminary PMI was also revised higher. The US dollar posted an outside ...
Asia Pacific equities were mostly lower. The central banks of Austria, Netherlands, and Latvia were advocating a 50 bp increase even before this week's higher than expected CPI. Emerging market currencies are more mixed. For further details see: Dollar Gains Pared
Asia Pacific equities were mixed, with Japan, South Korea, and Australia, among the major bourses posting gains. The dollar is bid against the Chinese yuan. The Canadian dollar is little changed ahead of the central bank meeting. For further details see: Bank Of Canada's...
Energy and commodity companies are largely paid in U.S. dollars. Portfolios that focus on inflationary growth sectors are benefiting from high prices for copper, crude oil, natural gas, fertilizer, lithium, and other higher commodity prices. The median new home sales price is now ...
The US dollar is up 12 % against the euro over the last year. Floating currencies serve the useful purpose of allowing each country to pursue the monetary policy that suits its own circumstances. The most likely victims of a strengthening dollar are not other major advanced econom...
Plunges in sentiment like we are seeing right now only go this far during a recession. People don’t need the government to tell them we are in a recession to start feeling like we are in a recession. The unprecedented mountain of consumer debt leaves us far less resilient to wi...
The economic news emanating from Britain and the European Union is continuing to come in weak, as many European countries are expected to slip into a recession this year. While inflation may be ebbing in China and the U.S., inflation is still accelerating in Britain and the rest of Eu...
Our medium-term BEER model shows that the dollar is not exceptionally expensive against G10 currencies. The Ukraine conflict and the exacerbated surge in energy prices have generated some significant shocks in the terms of trade of many G10 economies lately. The euro, pound and Sw...
Several European Central Bank officials have become more vocal, showing their concern about the weakening euro. As much as we think that these concerns are overdone, a strengthening euro could be the single most efficient way to temper inflation quickly. This is why the hawks at t...
Currency markets are sending some important warning signals about global growth and inflation coming from movements in the Chinese yuan, the euro and the Japanese yen. After a long period of stability, recent depreciation in the Chinese yuan is signaling that China’s economy ma...
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