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King Dollar has made epic gains on a number of world currencies this year as the U.S. has embarked on an aggressive monetary tightening cycle to control inflation. Among the biggest victims of King Dollar’s strength is gold, which, like most commodities, is priced in the greenb...
The US Dollar has recently shown strength. Inflation is rather high. The geopolitical situation is unstable. This article examines the present state of the American currency and possible effects on it caused by the geopolitical situation. The Dollar is still strong despite h...
Europe is facing the risk of an energy shock-driven recession and periphery stress. That’s why we think the ECB will stop hiking earlier than the Fed. Relentless U.S. inflation last week signaled a big rate hike by the Fed later this month. Long-term yields fell amid fears rate...
Equities are mostly higher as are benchmark yields, while the dollar has pulled back. The euro is trading firmly and reached almost $1.0150, a five-day high. The Federal Reserve has entered a quiet period ahead of the next week's FOMC meeting. Overview: Risk appetite...
The stronger than expected rise in the US June CPI, above 9%, helped spur speculation that the Fed could raise rates 100 bp in a couple of weeks. The Dollar Index reached almost 109.30 on July 14, its best level since late June 2002. The Bank of Canada's aggressive 100 bp rate hik...
The US and eurozone June composite PMI had nearly converged at 52.3 and 52.0, respectively. The BOJ saw the economy expanding 2.9% this year and slowing to 1.9% next and 1.1% in 2024. In June, the ECB raised the TLTRO rate to its deposit rate (-0.50%), and banks repaid almost 75 b...
Imported energy (natural gas and coal) is responsible for a significant part of the rise in imports and hence the deterioration of Japan's external balance. The dollar held below yesterday's high against the Japanese yen. The US dollar spiked to almost CAD1.3225 in yesterday's fra...
The exchange rate is the main channel of monetary policy. Banning the insurers but not capping the price of Russian oil would likely lead to a surge in oil prices. Fiscal policy is not getting the attention we think it should. Overview: The higher-than-expected US CP...
Last quarter, the Asset Allocation Committee adopted an underweight view on global equities and leaned more heavily into cash, commodities and other alternative, diversifying assets. The Committee’s views on real and alternative assets are unchanged this quarter. The Asset ...
China has been advocating a regional trade pact, which would exclude the US. The dollar is consolidating against the yen in what appears to be still constructive price action. The latest Bloomberg surveys found economists have boosted their odds of a eurozone recession. ...
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