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2024-03-19 14:00:00 ET Summary Corporate bond defaults were up massively in 2023, especially for high-risk junk debt, and the trend is continuing this year at a pace not seen since the 2008 global financial crisis. High-interest rates coupled with high inflation have made it a str...
2024-03-18 11:15:00 ET Summary Over the last two years, the evolution of the US economy has been driven by a return to “normal”. The change in cash levels at the household level were large and have proved more persistent than most expected. At the end of last yea...
2024-03-16 04:55:00 ET Summary In early 2024, investors' eyes remain intently focused on the Federal Reserve's policy path, as decelerating inflation should open the door to Fed rate cuts this year - a pivotal event for financial markets. A much-flagged risk for this year is that,...
2024-03-16 04:00:00 ET Summary In February, fallen angels underperformed the broad high yield market by 0.70%. Year-to-date, fallen angels are behind by 0.14%, posting returns of 0.17% versus 0.32% for the broad high yield market. The yields on fallen angels recently surpassed...
2024-03-11 09:47:00 ET Summary Q4 data confirm that government finance Bubble dynamics run unabated. Domestic Financial Sector borrowings recovered to SAAR $695 billion, after two straight quarters of contraction. The Household Balance Sheet is a key Bubble manifestation, a ma...
2024-02-25 11:52:00 ET Summary Investment-grade CDS traded down to 51 bps Thursday, the low back to December 31, 2021. High yield CDS sank to 336 bps, the low since February 1, 2022. Nvidia added $155 billion of market capitalization (reaching $2 TN), as stocks surged further into...
2024-02-23 05:30:00 ET Summary We believe that a mild recession in the first half of the year is likely. The Fed Funds rate topped out at 5.3% in August 2023, which puts a recession on track for either the first or second quarter. The economy has shifted from one extreme to an...
2024-02-21 17:50:51 ET Summary SPHY and FALN are my top two high-yield corporate bond ETF picks. SPHY is a simple high-yield bond index ETF. FALN focuses on fallen angels, some of the best-performing high-yield bonds in the market. Both are good funds, with broad similarities,...
2024-02-20 03:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-17 02:29:00 ET Summary The positive momentum gained by fallen angels in the final quarter of 2023 carried over into January, surpassing broad high yield by 56bps. Sector-specific weakness may continue to manifest in downgrades, and even a modest slowdown in growth could le...
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2024-05-30 20:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-21 08:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-20 03:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...