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By Roberto Silvestri Since the formation of a new government led by Prime Minister Boris Johnson in Westminster, the likelihood of a no-deal exit of the United Kingdom from the EU on October 31 seems to have risen exponentially. Hence, the EU is accelerating its preparation for this scenar...
September 30, 2019 - As long as the German economy was doing well, as it was during the recovery from the 2008 global financial crisis, there existed a coherent rationale for German fiscal austerity. The national commitment to budget discipline was enshrined in the 2009 "debt brake," which l...
By Blu Putnam October may well see the opening of a new front in the U.S.-initiated trade wars, with Europe being the target this time. Indeed, in preparation for launching tariffs aimed at Europe, the new mantra in official Washington seems to be that on many trade issues Europe is worse ...
Today, September 26, 2019, we've reassembled our Brexit panel and have prepared an updated roundtable Q&A. These freshly updated views are available to PRO+ Subscribers here. Given so many twists and turns in the Brexit proceedings over the past 3 years, Seeking Alpha has surveyed ...
By Nick Maroutsos In this short question and answer session, Nick Maroutsos, Co-Head of Global Bonds, looks at the macroeconomic landscape and how it is shaping his team’s investment decision-making. Is Europe trapped in negative rates? If so, what are the implications for inves...
While we read a great deal about the huge trade deficit America runs with China it is important to understand we are not the only one. Other countries also have this problem. Europe as a whole runs a solid trade deficit with China. In some ways, this is balanced by the EU having a surplus with...
By Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist Weekly Market Compass: If governments aren't willing to enact fiscal stimulus, central banks may need to consider more hands-on ways to promote spending Last week, the European Central Bank ((ECB)) decided to take a significant ste...
By Andrew Mulliner, CFA Andrew Mulliner, CFA, a Global Bonds Portfolio Manager, reflects on the European Central Bank’s decision to cut rates and bring back quantitative easing. Expectations were high coming into the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on Thursday in spite o...
We identified geopolitical risk as the key market driver in the second half of 2019 in our midyear investment outlook . The UK is the latest example, where deep divisions over a potential Brexit have unsettled the political landscape, paving the way for a broader set of potential outcomes...
The hope in an arranged marriage is that people marry, and then fall in love. Sometimes that works, other times it doesn't. Two decades after inception, the eurozone countries' arranged marriage-type of union looks shaky at best, and now it is even more challenged by ongoing, global disruptive...