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Summary Markets may be underestimating the stickiness of inflation and central banks’ determination to beat it - and what that means for growth and corporate earnings potential. We favor fixed income and credit over equities, and investment grade over high yield. Should infla...
Summary It will be a busy week filled with a wide range of economic indicators, lots of Fed speak, and earnings season heats up. The run-up to the February ECB meeting is going to bring immense focus on incoming data and central bank speak. So it turns out the UK may have just about...
Summary The turn in inflation sentiment has been nothing short of spectacular, in particular in the US. To be fair, it's been supported by benign inflation breakevens. At the same time there is a lot of positive extrapolation going on. Bonds are continuing to ride this narrative and the...
Summary Should EUR rates continue their climb until a clearer turn appears in ECB policy, or should they follow their USD peers lower, assuming that the ECB pivot will necessarily follow the Fed’s, albeit with a lag? We see fair value for 10Y EUR swaps around 3% for the rest of t...
Summary After enduring one of the worst years on record across asset classes, investors should find more cause for optimism in 2023, even as the global economy faces challenges. Inflation is likely to moderate, and risks to the inflation outlook appear more balanced than they did severa...
Summary Arguably one of the greatest frustrations for investors over the past year of rampant inflation was the dismal performance of real assets regarded as inflation hedges and their positive correlations to the returns of nominal assets, such as conventional government bonds. Even th...
Summary Looking around the globe, we find a few major stock markets with bullish setups. Most are leaning bearish to perhaps strongly bearish. The S&P 500 is currently 30 on a list of 36 country indexes, with Turkey, Poland, Italy, Denmark, and China taking the top slots. Longer...
Summary As expected, despite an overhang of risk from the pandemic, global banking sectors again avoided major crises in 2022. The combination of higher interest rates, tighter liquidity conditions, and risk aversion against a background of weaker global economic growth will slow credit...
Summary Over the last year, major changes occurred, so 2023 will be about managing and reacting to the changes that arrived. As we enter 2023, the pessimism of 2022 may shift to optimism, as economies and markets adapt to the major changes thrust upon them in the year just passed. E...
Summary European bond-market performance was among the worst on record in 2022, as Europe ran the gamut of geopolitical, economic, and market storms. Across both investment grade and high yield, credit spreads are above average and absolute total yields look attractive. We expect th...
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2024-04-21 10:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-11 12:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 14:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...