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2023-08-02 08:23:00 ET Summary We’ve seen a shift in analyst sentiment over the last two weeks when looking at data in This Week in Earnings and STOXX 600 Earnings Outlook report. For the S&P 500, the week ending July 28th saw a total of 2,444 FY1 EPS revisions over a 7...
2023-08-02 04:10:00 ET Summary As the ECB has been putting increasing emphasis on the recent readings of underlying inflation, it is more important to look at the short-term dynamics than at the year-on-year figures. While some easing of inflationary tensions is indeed observable,...
2023-08-01 05:15:00 ET Summary It’s Q2 earnings season, and many of our stocks are already exhibiting relative strength, which is a sign that money is gravitating to companies that will post the strongest quarterly results and the best future guidance. We’re finally ...
2023-08-01 02:25:00 ET Summary Central banks: The economies of the US, eurozone and Japan are all in different places, which means central banks must tailor their policies accordingly. Earnings season: The overall statistics have been relatively good so far, but it’s been o...
2023-08-01 01:56:00 ET Summary The Fed's trial-by-error approach to inflation. The Fed and ECB hiked rates again. Now what? How to manage your portfolio when traditional data doesn't tell the whole story. The U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank have ...
2023-07-31 22:45:00 ET Summary The CPI for services spiked by 5.6% in July, compared to a year ago, up from 5.4% in June and 5.0% in May, another record in the data going back to 1997, according to Eurostat today. “Core” CPI (without food and energy products that con...
2023-07-31 14:45:00 ET Summary GDP growth beat expectations at 0.3% quarter-on-quarter in 2Q, but underlying weakness remains significant. For the data-dependent ECB, this GDP reading will not be a dovish argument at the September meeting, leaving a further hike on the table. ...
2023-07-31 11:19:00 ET Summary Falling inflation, recovering growth, relaxed central bankers—how one of the most widely forecast recessions in history failed to happen. Germany is in mild recession, but the rest of Europe’s large economies are ticking over. The U.S. ...
2023-07-31 10:30:00 ET Summary Major central banks tightened policy last week, including unexpectedly in Japan. We see the potential for rising Japanese bond yields to pull global yields higher. The Bank of Japan tweaked its yield cap, sending local yields to a nine-year high. Dev...
2023-07-29 02:40:00 ET Summary The latest round of U.S. data has been strong, the Fed has hiked rates again, and Fed analysts apparently have thrown in the towel on recession risks. If we start to look at developed countries starting in the mid-1990s - so a 30-year historical wind...