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Healthy pre-provision income and strong capital levels will allow banks to manage their remaining exposure to Russian counterparties. Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February, all EU banks with exposure have confirmed that they have not permitted any new commercial activi...
As inflation readings around the world come in well above targets, many central banks have sped up their plans to tighten monetary policy after years of historically low interest rates and bond purchase programs. However, the European Central Bank (ECB) is notably absent from the list...
The pace of global economic growth remained among the weakest seen so far during the pandemic recovery period in May, according to the latest PMI data compiled for JPMorgan by S&P Global. Future expectations remain especially weak by historical standards in India and the eurozone ...
Quite frankly, new business creation is occurring in many parts of the world. We have observed new businesses being created at an annual growth rate greater than 15% since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in Canada, France, Japan and the United States. The Economist estimates th...
Russia's invasion of Ukraine has caused several spillover effects, which for European economies are having an uneven impact at both the country and the subnational level. Regions specialized in sectors that have been adversely impacted by Russia's invasion of Ukraine are set to face w...
A potential economic and political revolution in France and Europe was averted. President Emmanuel Macron won a decisive victory over the populist Eurosceptic Marine Le Pen in the second round of the French elections on April 24. The results should allay immediate concerns about p...
Investors have been processing high inflation reports, rising interest rates, surging energy, commodity, and real estate prices. So, what is the market saying about which markets investors have favored the last couple of years vs where are they putting their money right now? A way...
You have probably noticed that prices at the grocery store are higher than they were a year ago, but some, like cereal and sunflower oil, are a whole lot higher. This impending food crisis has been somewhat overlooked in developed-world analysis about the economic effects of the crisi...
European Central Bank looks a lot closer to normalising or tightening policy. The current energy crisis can hardly be tackled by monetary policy. Higher policy rates should not automatically put pressure on debt sustainability but an end to asset purchases and higher bond yields e...
The global central bank community has been wrong on inflation. Euro zone inflation rose to a new record high last month, defying expectations for a big drop and piling pressure on the European Central Bank to finally admit that price growth is not as temporary and benign as it has lon...