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Summary Even amid still-elevated (though moderating) inflation levels, some economists offered cautiously optimistic global growth forecasts during last month’s World Economic Forum. While global growth may still be dampened, China’s reopening marks a notable turning point...
Summary In the past, one of the biggest attractions of EM equities was a stronger macroeconomic growth backdrop than that of developed countries. We’re also seeing signals of declining inflation across various EM countries, including India and Brazil. Investors are understand...
Summary Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) hosted US President Joe Biden and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in Mexico City between Jan. 9 and 11 for the North American Leaders' Summit. The focus on semiconductors and critical minerals during supply ch...
Summary Active fixed-income ETFs allow portfolio managers to stay nimble and avoid sectors and parts of the credit spectrum that might encounter increased stress. There are now a growing number of dividend ETFs that are focused on yield and offer responsiveness to evolving sector dynami...
Summary There were ample causes for this global downdraft in equity markets. Global equity markets look likely to face a global recession in 2023, which appears to have already begun in the final quarter of 2022. Equity markets will face a tough global environment in 2023, particula...
Summary We see 10 major themes to watch for in Latin America in 2023. Higher interest rates will affect credit growth and discourage consumption and investment. The combination of high inflation, rising unemployment, and sluggish economic growth in much of the region will worsen pro...
Summary Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico, which account for 23% of global maize production, are experiencing substantial losses because of climate-related issues. Latin America is likely to resist any attempts to implement land distribution controls. Like their Latin American cou...
Summary The acceleration of innovation in emerging markets provides reasons for confidence in emerging markets long term. Markets in Latin America have been the best performer in emerging markets (EMs) year-to-date, driven by the rise in the energy sector, which has posted double-...
Summary Central banks across emerging markets have reacted to elevated inflation by significantly tightening monetary policy, in some cases, well ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. After largely synchronized rate-hiking cycles across EM, monetary poli...
Summary Brazilian real and Mexican peso are the only major currencies that have outperformed the strong US dollar YTD September 30, 2022. Brazilian real has benefitted from its strong exports earlier this year, thanks to the strong demand and higher commodity prices, e.g., price r...