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Summary The Fed is primarily concerned with what is happening with inflation. This earnings season will likely be filled with hiring freezes/layoff announcements, cost-cutting saving measures, and mostly downbeat outlooks. The West is working towards fresh sanctions and potent...
Summary Investors will have a handful of key economic releases to follow this week. The key economic release for the week is the September nonfarm payroll report. Unemployment is expected to remain steady at 3.7%. US It remains all about the Fed as it continu...
Summary Emerging markets have seen a sustained period of higher nominal yields over the past 18 months. This backdrop of moderating inflation raises the question of whether there is light at the end of the tunnel for monetary policy tightening. We do not expect cuts in the ver...
Summary The growing global commitment to the transformation of the economy to Net-Zero Emissions by 2050 is intensifying demand for critical minerals. A supply-demand gap is likely to open up, leaving businesses and governments scrambling to close it to achieve climate goals. ...
Summary As the ”invoicing” currency of the world, when the U.S. dollar appreciates, other currencies essentially depreciate. Rising commodity prices can be a boon for emerging economies – including oil exporters Brazil, Mexico and Russia – that rely on ...
Summary The FOMC may consider a full-point rate hike but will likely settle on delivering its third consecutive 75 basis-point increase. The BoE will meet on Thursday and it has a big decision to make. The FX world is closely watching everything out of Japan. US ...
Summary Kenya’s much anticipated presidential election recently concluded with the Supreme Court confirming President William Ruto’s victory. A cursory look at Kenya’s international trade reveals some striking patterns. Kenya’s international trade i...
Summary The main economic data release for the trading week is the US inflation report. The UK economy is in a precarious position and facing a recession. Chinese President Xi is expected to meet with Russian President Putin at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in U...
Summary Policymakers have spent weeks trying to convince investors that there was no dovish pivot, to no avail. So it was up to Powell to reinforce the Fed’s commitment to bringing inflation back to target and I think there’s little doubt he did it. In referencin...
Jackson Hole has been heavily discussed since the Fed’s supposed “dovish pivot” last month when it adopted a more data-dependent stance. While policymakers have pushed back against the idea of a pivot, markets have continued to price in a slower path of tightening...