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In the same way inflation has roiled financial markets on its way up, it also has the potential to impact them on the way down, should it come down. Our view is that inflation is nearing a cyclical peak, and we expect it to begin cooling off from here. We’re keeping an eye ...
We still prefer equities over fixed income on a strategic horizon, but we moderate our stance after this year’s big market moves. Stocks bounced back on hopes the Federal Reserve can soon pause rate hikes. But we don’t expect a sustained rebound until the Fed takes a cle...
A slew of manufacturing PMIs supports the view that the US and, indeed the entire global economy is faltering. The bear market should continue until a sufficient amount of disinflation is manifest. In response to the upcoming recession, expect the Fed, Treasury, and D.C. to coordi...
The stock market appears it may have it entirely wrong about the Fed pauses. Markets that price the path of future rates suggests there's no pause coming. The recent rally had everything to do with liquidity vanishing. For further details see: Stocks May Have It Entirely...
Two things any observer would take away from recent news media reports on the US economy are today’s high inflation and low unemployment. Monetary policymakers prime the economy for a recession by keeping interest rates too low for too long. Recessions normally occur after ...
The consumer continues to drive economic growth in the second quarter. More signs the peak rate of inflation is behind us, as inflation expectations also ease. Now the rate of wage growth may be peaking too. Fiscal stimulus is offsetting monetary policy tightening to increase ...
Ray Dalio cautioned investors away from cash, citing high inflation causing cash to be a guaranteed loser. Most equities will also likely struggle in the current environment. We share our top picks to navigate the current environment. For further details see: Billionaire...
Each time a more substantial market correction occurred, Central Banks acted to provide the “neutral stimulus.”. Investors have been under a tremendous amount of pressure this year. The Fed doesn’t mind a “disinflation” in asset prices to reduce ...
The Federal Reserve needs to cool off inflation. They basically only have one tool. That is to tighten policy so the economy cools. Biden is stuck between a rock and hard place. Do nothing and inflation ravages the lower and middle class. Do something and the stock market falls and un...
Looking at the relationship between the U.S. 10-year real yield and the S&P 500 Index forward price-to-earnings multiple going back to 2018, a -1.00% real yield implies a multiple of 23 times. Real yields and broader measures of the monetary policy environment are now back at pre-...
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2024-03-08 19:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-12-09 18:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
First Trust Advisors L.P. ("FTA") announces the declaration of distributions for 135 exchange-traded fund(s) (each a “Fund,” collectively, the “Funds”) advised by FTA. The following dates apply to today's distribution declarations: FTA is a federally ...