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By Hemant Baijal, Head of Multi-Sector Portfolio Management, Global Debt Senior Portfolio Manager ; Meral Karasulu, PhD, Director of Fixed Income Research, Global Debt Team ; Claudia Castro, PhD, Director, Fixed Income Research ; Turgut Kisinbay, PhD, Director of Fixed Incom...
By James J. Clarke How do we think about a world of ultra-low interest rates as equity investors? To us, interest rates are much more than determining what discount rate to use in a valuation model. At extreme levels, the rate environment introduces distortions that impact management behav...
Credit markets have rallied significantly over the past few years, with spreads over Treasuries in the U.S., for example, dwindling to very tight levels alongside decreasing yields. At the same time, many investors have raised concerns over credit market volatility, liquidity, potential overva...
Mid-yields on 10-year government bonds finished 2019 - and capped off the decade - with across-the-board increases. In fact, amid an ever-uncertain monetary policy environment, several government bond markets tracked by Tradeweb saw their yields rise by double digits over the course of Decembe...
Most central banks around the world joined the G3 in 2019 by easing monetary conditions, a trend that should persist in 2020. For its part, the Federal Reserve (Fed) course-corrected three times to address global headwinds and improve domestic business conditions. The effects of these coordina...
The global bond market sell-off continued in November, pushing many European benchmark bond yields closer to positive territory. At month end, nearly 53.1% of European government bonds closed with a negative yield, down from 57.6% in October and 63.1% in September. The largest mover was the ...
Originally published on December 18, 2019 Today, shortly after Paul Volcker's passing and his memorial service, and shortly after Mario Draghi passed the baton of the European Central Bank to Christine Lagarde, I can't help but reflect on the heroism of these people and the heroism of Ben ...
The title quote is from Tad Rivelle, Chief Investment Officer of TCW (Los Angeles-based fixed-income management company), who manages one of the largest actively managed bond funds. He goes on to comment about the implications of the negative rate policy that has been implemented by Japan and ...
U.S. President Donald Trump has been pushing the Federal Reserve (Fed) to consider cutting policy rates below zero in an effort to stimulate growth and weaken the dollar. But his stance is a lonely one, as negative policy rates have largely gone out of style. Global central banks are reconside...
When you have entered this space, you may be assured that you have gone into some kind of distorted world, possibly created by Aldous Huxley. It may be a "Brave New World," but it may also be a level of Dante's "Inferno." Whatever it eventually turns out to be, it is certainly a historical pro...