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Gold reversed hard last week after blasting higher for a month, leaving traders wondering why and what that portends. The answers are found in gold’s dominant short-term driver, speculators’ collective trading in gold futures. Their positioning has grown excessively bullish, they...
Gold is a safe haven investment for many. However, will it be a profitable one if you invest in it now? I am presuming here that you are a US investor. The goodness of gold as an investment may depend on the local currency and many local political and economic factors. Dealing with the US situ...
Originally published on August 30, 2019 By Scott Bauer At a Glance China-U.S. Trade War, Hong Kong unrest and Fed policy have been tailwinds for the yellow metal. 10-year yields below 1.5 percent and the dollar decline versus the yen are also bullish signs for gold. Why does ...
Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on September 10, 2019. [This blog post is an excerpt from a commentary published at TSI on 1st September 2019.] It’s well known that the US$ gold price often trends in the opposite direction to the US real interest rate. This...
After a sizzling summer rally which saw gold stocks soar by an average of 35% over a three-month period, mining shares are finally experiencing a “correction.” In the last few days, gold mining stocks have declined sharply as investors book profits in the wake of short-covering i...
Currencies Japanese Yen - The Japanese Yen’s decline triggered a momentum-based short sale under .9425. Commercial traders were once again heavy sellers in the Yen. Our short sale is protected with a buy stop at .9647. First support is around .9230. The bigger question is, “W...
The Fed's dovish pivot may have precipitated a historic rise in equities, but history suggests that a slowing economy and inversion of the yield curve are likely a portent of a stock market correction. In lieu of contracting manufacturing PMI levels, less aggregate capital expenditures, and sl...
Germany has recently joined Switzerland in the dubious All Negative Club. The interest rate on every government bond, from short to 30 years, is now negative. Many would say "congratulations," in the belief that this proves their credit risk is... well... umm... negative(?) And anyway, it will...
For the 2020 fiscal year, the federal budget deficit is expected to hit a massive $1 trillion - the first time in U.S. history that it will have expanded so rapidly in a time of peace and prosperity. The most recent estimate by the Congressional Budget Office puts total federal debt at a who...
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason. Later in today’s program, we’ll hear a fascinating interview with Greg Weldon of Weldon Financial. Greg breaks down the recent move in silver, a move off of a breakout point he called spot on on this pr...