Total Return Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - February 3, 2026

2026-02-03 10:25:00 ET

The long-term return forecast for the Global Market Index ((GMI)) held steady in January at 7%-plus while the benchmark’s trailing 10-year shot higher through last month, rising above 10%. The near-three-percentage-point spread between the high-flying trailing results and the relatively moderate outlook is unusually wide. The gap suggests that investors should manage expectations down for the performance outlook for globally diversified portfolios in the years ahead....

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