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The chances of a "no-deal" Brexit have lessened, but the timeline to resolution has lengthened. Posted by Arnab Das, Global Market Strategist, EMEA, and Michael Siviter, Senior Fixed Income Portfolio Manager on March 20, 2019, in Market & Economic The latest installment o...
The arcane mechanisms of the European Union are about as interesting as watching paint dry or reading the small print of a share document. But for anybody wanting to know how the Brexit - Britain's failing attempt to leave the EU - will turn out, it is important to pay attention. Last night ...
Background on the European Central Bank The European Central Bank ((ECB)) administers monetary policy for the eurozone, which consists of 19 European Union member states. During 2011, the previous ECB President Jean-Claude Triche raised interest rates twice - from 1% to 1.25% in April, and a...
By Claudio Grass At the end of January, only a month after the official end of the QE program of the European Central Bank (ECB), its President Mario Draghi told the European Parliament's committee that the central bank could resume its bond purchasing, in a questionable effort to assuage ...
Despite the ECB's policy action on March 7, which pushed out the date of the first interest rate increase and confirmed a substantial package of targeted bank financing intended to ease credit conditions for the corporate sector, the market reaction was largely negative. Yet, a key part of our...
Overview: The ECB meeting is today's highlight. A dovish signal is expected. The euro remains pinned near its lows ahead it. The global equity market rally in January and February is faltering this week. Asian equities were mixed, but the Nikkei eased for the third consecutive session. Altho...
The EU is fast approaching several "breakpoints." While the situation has been going on for quite some time, with many people dismissing the importance of what is about to happen, I am not one of them. The markets are facing "Consequences" and they are firmly in front of us, at this point in t...
Overview: It is an eventful day, but the capital markets are taking it in stride. Equity markets are mixed. Asia may have been weighed down by China's shaving its growth target and announced around CNY2 trillion (~$300 bln) in tax cuts to support the economy, though Chinese stocks edged high...
Outlook 2019 continues its V-shaped recovery from the painful end to 2018. U.S. markets had another especially good month, leading to much head-scratching about how far the divergence can go. Further, volatility has been eerily low the past few weeks, and I think the market is in a stran...
After the misguided referendum three years ago, the Brexit end-game is about to begin. In the UK, it means political division and fiscal erosion. Moreover, global growth prospects will not remain immune to turmoil in the world’s fifth largest economy. Initially, London’s goal w...
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