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Improving fundamentals in investment grade credit are unlikely to be derailed by inflation. Over the next 12 months, we expect investment grade credit fundamentals to improve despite inflationary pressures. While we are optimistic about investment grade credit fundamentals overall...
A more hawkish Fed may not lift Treasury or investment grade credit yields, and that raises important questions for fixed income investors and asset allocators. The central bank raised its inflation forecast for 2022. Should last week’s change of tone put some of those infl...
This morning we learned that US retail spending fell 1.3% in May (more than the -.80 expected). Commodities have been sensing the shift, with the price of many key inputs like lumber (-42%), steel rebar (-18%) and copper (-9%) down sharply from recent peaks. Increases in oil, gas ...
On the surface, conditions in the US look pretty fantastic these days. Prices for lots of goods and services are soaring. Job openings are at record highs. Does the historically low level of real risk-free yields on TIPS suggest that US economic growth will be anemic at best for as fa...
Over the past year, a surge of investors drove high-yield bond prices back to pre-pandemic levels. The potential for a double-dip should increase insurance companies’ appetite for juicier high-yield offerings. While high yield improved its lot through the pandemic, some inv...
Here are 12 very different "core" ETF model portfolios for 12 different investors, highlighting what I see each of 12 different fund brands being the best at. Each of these portfolios aim to provide "comprehensive core" exposure to bonds and global stocks within one of 12 consistent i...
The Global Market Index’s (GMI) expected risk premium held steady at 5.9% annualized in May, matching the previous month’s estimate. The framework for estimating equilibrium returns was initially outlined in a 1974 paper by Professor Bill Sharpe. Keep in mind, too, t...
The major asset classes delivered across-the-board gains for a second month in a row in May. Everything apart from cash was up last month, led by a sizzling rally in foreign inflation-linked government bonds. The FTSE Russell World Inflation Index ex-US surged 4.0% last month, the...
1Q21 earnings season for investment grade issuers was strong and better than expected. Key themes from earnings calls included optimism around the post-pandemic recovery in the U.S., but also more mixed global trends. Going forward, potential headwinds will need to be monitored as...
As a new credit cycle takes shape, BBB-rated corporate behavior is on our radar as it will be an important input of performance for investment grade credit this year. Overall, the cyclicality of the largest BBB sectors is not as concerning as at previous times in history. Delevera...
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2024-06-22 08:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-12 09:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-31 17:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...