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New therapies to prevent serious illness are promising but we should expect a focus on COVID and a return to normal life to continue in 2022. The seized gears of the supply chain caused many to speculate that the world would move manufacturing away from China or even onshore productio...
Easing global growth weighs on exports and commodities. Expectations of higher interest rates in developed economies, stronger dollar and rising inflation put pressure on EM central banks to tighten. These factors pose notable risks to EM growth in 2022. For further details ...
The short-term correction has probably not ended yet. Macroeconomic indicators signal further upside for stocks despite short-term correction potential. The Fed could face tough challenges with its loose monetary stance sooner than many expect. For further details see: B...
Global economic growth will be slower but still above trend in 2022. This forecast should allow equities to outperform bonds. Inflation has yet to peak, but it will likely decline over the year and as a result any central bank tightening will be modest. 2021 was a year of rebound ...
The US rebound from the Q3 slowdown is in full bloom. The economy certainly looks like it is on solid ground right now. So, why in the world are bonds rallying? The 10-year Treasury yield fell 10 basis points on Friday after the payroll report. The movements in bond markets today ...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in November but remains elevated relative to recent history. Adjusting the forecast with short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) reduces - substantially - GMI’s ex...
The decade after the Great Financial Crisis of 2007–09 brought significant changes in the volume and composition of capital flows in the global economy. This article considers the implications of such a metamorphosis of finance for capital flows to emerging market economies. ...
November’s modest uptick in volatility, driven by a recalibration of the market’s macroeconomic expectations, could be a sign of things to come. On the surface, November may have appeared to be another month of quiet, range-bound fixed income markets. While we have n...
I don't know when the market will plummet, and I don't care either. I'm always prepared for a stock market crash. Consistently investing in the market yields the best results in the long run. Stock picking makes it easy to hold on to investments. I determine my price target and do...
Equity valuations remain very expensive. Commodity inflation and supply chain issues could derail the Fed. A 5%-10% correction is likely short-term. Strong momentum signals that the equity bubble keeps on inflating after the correction. For further details see: Energ...
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2024-06-12 11:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 09:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-02 18:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...