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EM debt currently offers value to investors with a medium- to long-term horizon and a willingness to tolerate a period of higher volatility. EM sovereign high-yield spreads are particularly compelling, especially relative to U.S. high-yield debt. Longer term, we believe the outloo...
I think this is a great macroeconomically hedged pair trade with potential for both positions to succeed in one scenario while one or the other likely prevail in the other. Higher US rates spill over into emerging markets because of linkages in the global financial system. The way...
Between the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia's invasion of Ukraine, 2022 has been a difficult year for emerging markets. Further, it could get worse before it gets better. At the same time, EM's forward P/E of 11.6 is roughly 60% of the U.S. market's 19.6. Might that open the door of oppo...
Investors face a trifecta of worries: rate hikes, inflation and volatility. In Q1 2022, equity markets took stock of a changing economic and geopolitical landscape. Looking forward, economic and geopolitical uncertainty will likely increase. For further details see: Look...
Historically reliable macro indicators signal growth for the U.S. economy. Our leading indicators weakened slightly during the past month but do not signal an imminent recession yet. Sustained bear markets in equities unfolded in recessions only. The S&P 500 remains on tar...
The sanctions imposed on the Russian government and companies, along with countermeasures by Russian authorities, have caused further disruption to commodity markets and contributed to rising prices. Sanctions against Russia, along with countermeasures by Russian authorities and self-...
For the third straight month, mutual fund investors were net redeemers of fund assets, withdrawing $64.6 billion from conventional funds for March. Fixed income funds (-$47.9 billion) witnessed net outflows for the fourth month in a row, while money market funds (+$6.7 billion) attrac...
Russia’s President Vladimir Putin has fully miscalculated the West’s response to his invasion of Ukraine. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) looks to have underestimated the underlying price pressures that have accumulated in the US economy. The developing new world order ...
Stock markets fell in the first quarter as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine destabilized the growth outlook, amplified concerns about rising interest rates and unleashed geopolitical risks. While the conflict has created many uncertainties, we believe the impact of persistent infla...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index ticked slightly higher in March to an annualized 5.8% pace, fractionally above last month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) to adjust the forecast trims GMI...
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2024-06-12 11:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 09:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-02 18:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...