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2024-01-26 23:17:00 ET Summary The surge in money markets since the “pandemic” has revived the age-old narrative that “money on the sidelines” is set to come into the markets. The current equity to money market asset ratio, although down from its record...
2024-01-26 21:06:00 ET Summary For the perennial recession forecasters, the 3.3% rise in output in Q4 was the latest blow to ongoing warnings that trouble is just around the corner. Last year was yet another master class of showing the power of ensemble models that carefully draw ...
2024-01-26 19:13:00 ET Summary Inflation is on the cusp of hitting the 2% target. Strong spending is still driven by legacy savings. First quarter GDP growth is set to remain robust, leaving May the more likely start point for rate cuts. By James Knightley ...
2024-01-25 23:45:00 ET Summary The early PMI data for January signalled a marked cooling of inflation pressures in the US economy, in turn linked to a waning of elevated price growth in the services economy. The latest price data from the PMI point to inflation falling below the F...
2024-01-25 13:57:00 ET Summary The iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF is the best-performing factor fund in 2024, up 6.1% YTD. Meanwhile, small-cap and value are taking a hit so far in 2024. Optimists are hoping, again, that attractive valuation is the catalyst that renews s...
2024-01-25 11:07:00 ET Summary Fourth quarter 2023 GDP growth beat all expectations thanks to strong consumer and government spending plus a positive contribution from net trade. First quarter GDP growth is expected to be weaker based on business surveys, but the Fed is close to d...
2024-01-25 07:30:00 ET Summary The US dollar is trading mostly quietly in narrow ranges against the G10 currencies ahead of the ECB's President Lagarde's press conference. Most of the emerging market currencies are a little firmer, but not the Mexican peso or Chinese yuan. The...
2024-01-25 02:18:00 ET Summary There will be a lot of firsts for the economic history books if this business cycle can survive a labor market slowdown, 525 basis points (bps) of rate hikes and an extremely inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve. But the dovish shift from the U.S. Federal ...
2024-01-25 00:10:00 ET Summary Strong growth doesn't cause inflation, and reducing inflation doesn't require a recession. Inflation is the result of an imbalance in the supply and the demand for money. Bringing down inflation requires that the Fed address this imbalance, typically...
2024-01-24 21:50:00 ET Summary After two years of surging inflation, are we going back to Goldilocks? Investors loved the low inflation environments of the 1990s and 2010s, which delivered huge returns for equities, but they haven’t enjoyed the post-pandemic stock gains as ...
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2024-05-22 02:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-22 13:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-23 16:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...