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2024-03-23 06:30:00 ET Summary Based on the valuation measures, we find best correlated with actual subsequent S&P 500 total returns across a century of market cycles. Because stocks are ultimately a claim on future cash flows that must be delivered over time, higher starting ...
2024-03-23 05:59:45 ET Summary It's a challenge to have confidence that Powell and the Fed have a sound understanding of the nature of second round inflation effects. With market exuberance running sky-high, it's not the optimal environment for reinforcing the notion of a Fed cock...
2024-03-23 03:45:00 ET Summary The implications for bonds as the Fed pledges to stay the course on rate cuts. The balancing act between anticipated rate cuts and economic strength. The Fed's steady as she goes approach to rates and inflation. ... Read the f...
2024-03-23 03:35:00 ET Summary It’s typical for risk assets to rally when central banks pause rate hiking efforts and finally start easing policy. Eventually, the reason they start easing come to dominate headlines and thwart soft landing hopes. Higher interest rates and yi...
2024-03-23 02:55:00 ET Summary With a resilient economy and sticky inflation, expect policymakers to choose caution over speed. Despite recent inflation data surprising to the upside and breaking from the end-of-year trend, we have long held that the path to target inflation would...
2024-03-23 02:15:00 ET Summary After growing 3.2 percent in the fourth quarter last year (and 3.1 percent for 2023 overall), the median FOMC projection for 2024 real GDP growth is 2.1 percent. With that higher growth estimate came expectations of somewhat stickier inflation, with ...
2024-03-23 01:56:00 ET Summary The Fed's March policy meeting has generated very vocal reactions by commentators and market participants. With rates expected to stay on hold, attention focused on the new economic projections. The Fed’s estimate of the neutral policy rat...
2024-03-23 00:00:00 ET Summary To no one’s surprise, the FOMC held its target rate range constant at 5.25%–5.5% and continued the process of letting its securities run off as they mature. In support of that decision, the committee’s statement cited data sugges...
2024-03-22 12:01:00 ET Summary The US economy remains on track to post a moderate growth rate in the upcoming first quarter GDP report, but the expansion continues to show signs of slowing. The US PMI Composite Output Index eased to 52.2 in March, down slightly from Februaryȁ...
2024-03-22 07:10:00 ET Summary The dollar's post-FOMC sell-off has been completely reversed and the greenback has reached new highs for the week against most of the G10 currencies. For the first time since last November, the US dollar has risen above CNY7.20 and continued to rise ...
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2024-05-22 02:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-22 14:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
Barnes & Noble Education, Inc. (NYSE:BNED) shares are trading lower after it announced a short-term shareholder rights plan and a new...