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2024-06-11 02:20:00 ET Summary As I have long said, the rest of the world is starting to cut rates in June – even if the Fed doesn’t follow suit. Since our Fed will now be lagging Europe in rate cuts, that means our rates will be higher, so “carry tradesȁ...
2024-06-10 22:15:00 ET Summary Because the stock market moved sharply and registered fresh all-time highs in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, many wonder if they have missed the boat. The issue is that we have three companies with $3 trillion (or very close to it) in market cap, and as...
2024-06-10 16:10:00 ET Summary We stay overweight U.S. stocks ahead of the election, yet are cautious on bonds given the fiscal outlook. We focus on long-term positives in India and Mexico. U.S. stocks notched fresh highs last week and are up nearly 13% this year. The Bank of Cana...
2024-06-10 15:10:00 ET Summary Over the last 15 years, both the size and duration profile of the Fed’s balance sheet have expanded meaningfully. The composition of the asset side of the Fed’s balance sheet offsets some of the intended tightening effects of higher pol...
2024-06-10 11:05:00 ET Summary Nonfarm payrolls rose 272,000 in May, rebounding sharply from April’s gain, with a gain that was well above the consensus forecast. The Fed funds futures market this morning is pricing in modest odds that the first rate cut will now arrive at ...
2024-06-10 10:00:00 ET Summary The employment report released last Friday offered contradictory views of the state of the economy. If we look at some of the other labor data available to us, like the JOLTS survey that was also released last week, a picture of a softening labor mar...
2024-06-10 09:30:00 ET Summary It has been an interesting few weeks around the world. This ongoing noise is creating choppiness in our stock and bond markets. The latest jobs report for May showed that US job growth surged and wages accelerated. Nonfarm payrolls advanced 272,000 l...
2024-06-10 07:25:00 ET Summary With mixed elements, the market took the US jobs data as relatively strong and took the dollar and US rates higher. The EU Parliament election has shaken up European politics, with the Belgium government collapsing and French President Macron calling...
2024-06-10 06:30:00 ET Summary Today's market sentiment is almost apathetic compared to the frenzy of the late 1990s. The "weak breadth" conundrum lasted almost five full years in the late 1990s accompanied by the similar narrow leadership within the S&P 500 at that time as we...
2024-06-09 16:00:00 ET Summary As expected, the S&P500 broke to new all-time highs this week. The 5400-5412 target is getting close. This article looks at why 5400 may be significant, and where the bullish bias will change. The S&P 500 (SPY) has made some err...
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2024-07-12 13:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-22 02:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...