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WTI crude closed last week at $114 a barrel, so the 2008 high is in play, contingent of course on how the Ukrainian crisis plays out. With sanctions on Russia, one of the largest commodity producers, about 25% of the global wheat supply is in danger, and given that the soybean harvest...
Oil prices have reached the highest levels since the all-time highs in 2008. The most obvious explanation for the sharp rally is the military conflict in Ukraine and the threat of a loss of Russian oil supplies. The extent to which a forward curve is in backwardation or contango is st...
Russia conflict further straining oil supply. Could an EU embargo on Russian oil push oil price near $200? How high could oil prices go this year? For further details see: No Signs Of Slowing Demand As Ukraine Conflict Pushes Oil Higher
We are experiencing an environment with a sharply higher probability of large, abrupt price moves related to event risk. Volatility typically reflects a simple measurement of the average of the ups and downs. The standard deviation is an average of ups and downs, and unfortunately...
Hackers associated with Russian internet addresses have been scanning the networks of five U.S. energy companies ahead of possible cyber attacks, the FBI said in a March 18 advisory to U.S. businesses, CBS reports. ETFs: NYSEARCA:XLE, XOP, VDE, OIH, FENY, FCG, IXC, XES The FBI issued the bull...
Based on new hopes for a peaceful Ukrainian/Russian resolution to their nearly month-long war, the world is cautiously optimistic. Although China has been trying to help Russia avoid economic sanctions, China is struggling with its own debt problems from Evergrande, slowing economic g...
Volatility persists - but it is accompanied by a shift back to market patterns associated with pre-war concerns about inflation and rising rates. Grain and fertilizer shortages could become an issue later this year, but energy prices remain the major immediate transmission mechanism t...
OPEC output increased by 440 kb/d according to secondary sources in February. Most of the increase in OPEC output was from Saudi Arabia (141 kb/d) followed by Libya (105 kb/d), Iran (44 kb/d), Iraq (36 kb/d), and Kuwait (32 kb/d). World liquids output was about 1000 kb/d below the...
The economic implications of Russia’s war are potentially large and global. Domestic Chinese spending will be hit, owing to higher petrol and food prices that dampen consumption. Russia and Ukraine account for 14% of global wheat production and 30% of global wheat exports. ...
We see the Ukraine war reducing global growth, increasing inflation and putting central banks in a bind. We prefer developed stocks in the inflationary backdrop. Stocks led by European equities bounced from 2022 lows last week, as oil prices came off highs. The European Central Bank a...
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2024-06-12 17:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-12 03:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-02 08:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...