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This fourth article on depressed bank valuations is not intended to be political commentary but a factual, data-driven analysis of the risk of a Democrat sweep on November 3. The first article noted that valuations are near record lows, yet insiders are not buying, and Buffett is a ne...
Earnings have fallen more than 50% this year because of slow loan growth, lower margins, and higher provisions. The excess capital over regulatory minimums should give investors confidence banks can weather further headwinds. Future risks include lower for longer interest rates an...
The expected 2020 EPS growth rate for the Financial sector improved from -36% to -32% by the end of July '20 but has remained stagnant since. 2021's expected revenue growth was greater than the 2020 percentage decline until April 10th, and then, 2020's expected percentage decline ecli...
The Technology sector has been the hardest hit group since the S&P 500's last all-time high on September 2nd. As a result of those declines, the sector's weighting in the S&P 500 has dropped roughly 1.5 percentage points from 28.85% down to 27.35%. The Technology sector ha...
Downturns in bank credit expansion always lead to systemic problems. We are on the edge of such a downturn, which thanks to everyone's focus on the coronavirus, is unexpected. We can now identify March 23 as the date when markets stopped worrying about deflation and realised that monetary in...
Investment Thesis: This too shall pass It's remarkable how in just six months COVID 19 has become a seemingly permanent part of life and the economy. It isn't. Every cycle, investors forget that "this too shall pass" and fail to prepare for the inevitable rebound. The virus might remain in d...
The Fed last night ordered banks to suspend dividend increases and not resume buybacks through at least the third quarter. Not only that, but dividends going forward will be limited to what the banks actually earn (more or less). More news on: Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF, SPDR S&P...
David Aurelio of Refinitiv is doing an earnings conference call today, i.e. Wednesday morning, June 24th, 2020 at 11:00 am central time. Search the Refinitiv website or David Aurelio's blog for the details. This blog's source earnings data comes from Refinitiv, which sources the data from IBES...
Introduction In September, 2019, I put out an article titled " The Monetary Death Spiral " attempting to explain why interest rates, inflation, productivity, and economic growth have been sliding downward over the past 35 years. To understand the theory, one must first understand the tw...
This article first appeared on Trend Investing on May 15, 2020: therefore all data is as of this date. Following on from my 'coronavirus beaten down stocks/funds series' this article serves as a summary of 'well-valued beaten down' countries, sectors and stocks that stand to benefit most a...
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2024-06-01 01:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 16:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-20 00:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...