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2024-04-28 04:30:00 ET Summary The backing up of US rates did not lift the dollar broadly as it appeared to have done previously. The Bank of Japan had an opportunity to have protested the yen's weakness more adamantly but did not do so. The FOMC meeting concludes a couple of ...
2024-04-22 15:30:00 ET Summary The global economy is now back on a growth trajectory, but there is a potential fiscal crisis to watch for in 2025. US Treasury Credit Default Swaps Show Elevated Deficit Concerns. Global growth should make you rethink your commodity allocation a...
2024-04-18 08:15:00 ET Summary Emerging markets debt performed well in the first quarter of 2024, and we anticipate more of the same in the next quarter. We continue to believe that there are attractive opportunities for investors to increase exposure to long-duration securities t...
2024-04-18 07:45:00 ET Summary Amid all-time highs for gold and sticky inflation, we turn our eye to the concerning fiscal outlook for 2025. At the end of 2023, we suggested that the three major macro factors - monetary policy, government spending and global economic growth - woul...
2024-04-15 08:20:00 ET Summary Investors continue to wait for clear signals as to the timing and extent of interest rate cuts. After last year’s significant progress on prices, inflation remains elevated and slow in its path toward target levels. Although the timing rem...
2024-04-12 06:15:00 ET Summary The continued robust US jobs growth and above-trend growth allow the Federal Reserve to remain focused on inflation. Fed Chair Powell has drawn attention to the core services excluding housing, and it rose at around an 8% annualized pace in Q1. F...
2024-04-11 08:05:00 ET Summary The market appears to be catching its proverbial breath today, but the shallow consolidation suggests the moves are not over. The dollar has reached nearly JPY153.30, and although Japanese officials cautioned about the FX moves, intervention while Pr...
2024-04-10 12:00:00 ET Summary Owners’ equivalent rent has been noisy over 1Q, however, other leading inflation indicators suggest there’s OER improvement to come in 2Q. This is supportive of a continued downward trend in inflation. Unemployment claims remain low by ...
2024-04-10 07:00:00 ET Summary Given the backup of US rates and the stronger-than-expected jobs growth, the greenback's performance has been unimpressive. The Hang Seng (1.85%) and the mainland companies that trade there (2.06%) led the region. Benchmark 10-year yields are mos...
2024-04-09 08:15:00 ET Summary The dollar is trading with a softer bias in mostly narrow ranges against the G10 currencies. Most of the large Asia Pacific equity markets rallied, led by a 1.85% gain in Taiwan and a 1.1% advance by the Nikkei. The dollar's high against the yen ...