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The stock market dip has been bought for months. This dip may turn out to be an abyss as the Fed will begin to tighten monetary policy. This will tighten financial conditions, which tends to lead to a lot of market volatility. For further details see: This Stock Market D...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance totaled 348,000 for the week ending August 14, a drop of 29,000 from the previous week’s revised tally of 377,000. A record number of openings continue to be reported across many industries, yet labor force participation r...
Last December, the Fed indicated that tapering would begin after “substantial further progress” toward the central bank’s employment and price-stability objectives. The Fed’s priority is to avoid disruption, making the successful 2014 taper a logical starti...
Friday, it was news that US consumer confidence fell 13% from July into August to 70.2 (vs 81.3 expected), the lowest since 2011. Yesterday, it was news that US retail sales for July - purchases at stores, restaurants and online - fell 1.1% compared with June. Today, we learn that...
As equity style winds shift, investors are still debating the merits of growth versus value stocks. The “discount” component of DCF analysis is a discount rate to reflect the fact that money received in the future is worth less than money in hand today. Future cash f...
Taking investment cues from market price trends is pure Momentum Investing. Fundamentals do indeed determine the price trends over longer periods, but not within the time frame presented by media pundits. Fear of loss (risk) is the main driver in the human psyche, and this has long be...
The next Z.1 report comes out in late September, but will only bring the data up to June 30th. I use a pair of adjustments to adjust the share of assets invested in risk assets between releases. The share of funds model now rates the market as having the highest valuation since 1945. ...
My reading of the current environment is relatively clear; both the longer term and shorter-term leading growth indicators are pointing toward the heightened possibility of slowing cyclical growth. As a result, these downward trends suggest investors ought to be rotating out of the re...
A technical analysis of the S&P 500 and SPY ETF using Elliott Wave theory suggests a drop in the index to 3600 or $360 for the ETF may be heading this way. Fundamental analysis of the index shows valuation may be too high based on slowing earnings growth rates. Fundamentals al...
The stock market is historically overvalued. The stock market is overbought on long-term charts. Large caps stocks can easily correct 20%-30%, certain Meme and Zombie stocks could be much worse. The Fed, as always, will play a pivotal role in how deep of a decline we see, watc...
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2024-07-02 16:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 17:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-21 12:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...