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Although Druzhba is an established supply route to Europe, the connected refineries could likely face disruptions if Europe avoids Russian oil or if the pipeline is shut down for any reason. Alternative supply routes are available through the Baltic Sea. The Plock, Schwedt, and Leuna ...
For the week ending 3/10, we have a draw of 60 Bcf. This compares to the -65 Bcf from the 5-year average and last year. Lower 48 production remains around ~94 Bcf/d, or well below the ~97 Bcf/d peak late last year. If production fails to recover to the highs by May, then the year-...
Inflation pressures were already elevated heading into 2022, and the Russia/Ukraine war is creating additional concerns. The current macro outlook has darkened. The mixture of higher inflation and lower demand adds to an already precarious policy environment. For further det...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, with its tragic human toll, likely marks a turning point for the geopolitical and global economic order. Will financial sanctions backfire and accelerate the displacement of the US dollar as primary global reserve currency? We are likely to see...
This past week marked the 13th anniversary of the bottom of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2007-2009. The March 6, 2009 stock market low for the S&P 500 marked a staggering overall value loss of 51.9%. The Fed was expected to raise interest rates by as much as 50 basis point...
The economic implications of Russia’s war are potentially large and global. Domestic Chinese spending will be hit, owing to higher petrol and food prices that dampen consumption. Russia and Ukraine account for 14% of global wheat production and 30% of global wheat exports. ...
The last time commodities outperformed global equities in a consecutive two-year period where returns were positive for both asset classes were back in 2004-2005. The brent curve has broadly remained in backwardation since the beginning of 2021 as OPEC+ began to curtail production to ...
We see the Ukraine war reducing global growth, increasing inflation and putting central banks in a bind. We prefer developed stocks in the inflationary backdrop. Stocks led by European equities bounced from 2022 lows last week, as oil prices came off highs. The European Central Bank a...
The world may be trying to unplug the Russians from the global financial system, but there will be unintended consequences, the bulk of which we have yet to see. Oil could take out its 2008 high of $150 per barrel, and there are spillovers in other commodities - not just nickel - due ...
The U.S. ban on imports of Russian crude oil is effective immediately, while Britain said they will phase out Russian crude oil imports by the end of this year - meaning 9+ months of phased withdrawal. Europe is “hooked” on Russian energy, so Germany has come out against...
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In this episode of Industry Focus: Energy , Nick Sciple chats with Motley Fool analyst Jim Gillies about some recent interesting stories. They discuss Warren Buffett selling airline stocks and Elon Musk's Twitter antics. Jim talks about digging deeper into companies' financials. They also t...
In this episode of Rule Breaker Investing , David Gardner chats with Motley Fool analysts Buck Hartzell and Robert Brokamp about dividend investing. Discover how dividends have behaved historically and their importance. Which one is better for shareholders: dividends or share buybacks? What s...
Barclays Bank PLC (“Barclays” or the “Issuer”) announced a temporary reduction of the minimum early redemption size of certain series of ETNs as specified in the table below (together, the “ETNs”). Currently holders of the ETNs are required to redeem...