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The long-run risk premium forecast for the Global Market Index (GMI) rebounded in October, edging up to 6.1%, based on revised numbers through last month. The new estimate is calculated in terms of the projected return over the “risk-free” rate, according to a risk-based...
US real estate investment trusts (REITs) and stocks posted the strongest returns for the major asset classes in October - by wide margins. US REITs surged 7.7% last month, reversing September’s sharp decline. The recovery puts American property shares in the lead for 2021 with ...
While the market started the week a bit sloppily, the bulls charged back on Thursday as earnings season officially got underway. With the market crossing above significant resistance at the 50-DMA and turning both seasonal “buy signals” confirmed, it appears a push for p...
Global equities rose through most of the third quarter but gave up most of their gains in a volatile September. As the forces driving stock returns rapidly change in our COVID-scarred world, we believe active managers can help investors effectively navigate the recovery’s uncer...
Risk-adjusted performance continued to rise in September for the Global Market Index (GMI), an unmanaged, market-value-weighted portfolio that holds all the major asset classes (except cash). GMI’s 0.97 Sharpe ratio is close to the highest levels reached in recent history. ...
Global Market Index is useful as a starting point for research on asset allocation and portfolio design. Predictions for the market components are subject to greater uncertainty compared with aggregating forecasts, a process that may cancel out some of the errors through time. Com...
Global markets suffered their broadest retreat in a year during September. The bullish exception: commodities, which delivered a solid gain last month. Notably, US stocks and bonds lost ground, giving support to concerns that the historical diversification benefits of pairing the two ...
Looking at the 2022 “expected” growth rates for S&P 500 EPS and revenue particularly since August ’21, readers are still seeing upward revisions. With 27% of the S&P 500 being tech today, the “earnings weight” is far higher, closer to 22-23%....
This is a quarterly FOMC meeting, which will result in a statement and economic projections. It is likely that the Fed will indicate the beginning of the end for QE starts in November. The Fed may also downgrade its GDP growth outlook. For further details see: The Fed Ma...
Regardless of what happens with the economy and bonds over the rest of the year, we are nearing peak exuberance in stocks. Most people fear that a slowing economy will be the trigger for a stock market selloff, but that may be the wrong worry. Bear markets are generally associated wit...
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J.P. Morgan Asset Management Announces Liquidation of Two Exchange-Traded Funds PR Newswire Funds are expected to liquidate in Fall 2023 NEW YORK , Aug. 10, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- J.P. Morgan Asset Management today announced the upcoming liquidation an...