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2024-04-19 07:45:00 ET Summary This year started on a strong note, with global equity markets gaining 8.9%. With better-than-expected economic data being published in the U.S., but also in Europe and China, market confidence grew, leading to a regional broadening of the bull marke...
2024-04-18 07:45:00 ET Summary Amid all-time highs for gold and sticky inflation, we turn our eye to the concerning fiscal outlook for 2025. At the end of 2023, we suggested that the three major macro factors - monetary policy, government spending and global economic growth - woul...
2024-04-17 09:25:00 ET Summary Investors have traditionally considered emerging markets a riskier investment opportunity set than developed markets. But the risk-return characteristics of EMs may be changing, as reflected recently in compressed EM sovereign spreads and realized eq...
2024-04-17 05:00:00 ET Summary Inflation cooled substantially last year, but upside surprises in early 2024 for the US and Europe have many investors concerned that the path back to normal has hit a roadblock. Fighting inflation is a long game, and global central banks seem to be ...
2024-04-16 10:00:00 ET Summary China’s first-quarter 2024 GDP growth came in stronger than expected despite misses in retail sales and industrial production data as growth drivers shifted back toward investment. Investment was the key to 1Q24 GDP's outperformance, while las...
2024-04-13 06:56:17 ET Summary Bubbles can inflate for a long time, sustained by loose financial conditions and government rescues. Bubbles eventually burst - and they have this innate diabolical propensity to somehow catch the over-exposed masses by surprise, causing the greatest...
2024-04-09 07:18:00 ET Summary Broad-based global economic indicators have clearly improved in the past three-to-six months, and this has happened as inflation has come down. The major DM central banks might not have started their easing cycle yet, but the underlying thrust of glo...
2024-04-09 02:00:00 ET Summary Emerging markets growth accelerated at the end of the first quarter of 2024, rising in March at the fastest pace since May of last year. Supporting the latest expansion were improvements across both the manufacturing and service sectors. The GDP-...
2024-04-08 08:15:00 ET Summary It may be time to look beyond the U.S. for equity market performance, especially if early signs of a cyclical economic recovery persist. Before broadening regional allocations, investors are likely to seek some fundamental economic support for the id...
2024-04-06 11:00:00 ET Summary The concept of a "just transition" is gaining ground among responsible investors concerned about the social risks of moving from fossil fuels to alternative energy sources. Coal- or oil-exporting countries with undiversified economies may face signif...