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The Fed confirmed that it will taper its asset purchase program starting later in November, while the Bank of England (BOE) fell just short of raising rates at its November meeting. 55% of managers expect inflation in the U.S. for the next 12 months to stand between 2.26% and 2.75%, w...
We are moving from the recovery phase of the current cycle to its middle phase. But what kind of cycle is it likely to be? After 40 years of declining inflation and interest rates, the direction of travel appears to be changing, due to new central bank policy priorities, China’...
October's growth in industrial production, investment and retail sales was very mixed. Sudden electricity outages will probably not re-occur. But questions remain about real estate policies and the unexplained sluggishness of infrastructure investment and the outlook for 2022. ...
We see price pressures to persist in 2022, mostly driven by the unusual restart dynamics. Eventually, we see a higher inflation regime than pre-Covid. U.S. consumer price index (CPI) jumped more than expected in October, bringing annual inflation rate to 6.2%, the highest level in thr...
The resolution of inflation and policy uncertainty is likely to be among the most important determinants of market performance over the next 12 months. Even before Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index release, we saw signs of the shockwave to come earlier in the week. Real yiel...
We’ve seen a lot of quantitative easing by the Fed. Rates are already at zero, and there’s been a lot of fiscal stimulus that’s been pumped into the system. And we think in this environment, given where valuations are overall, you’re better off leaning more...
Oil prices are expected to remain elevated in coming quarters, with higher prices having differentiated effects across emerging markets credit. Oil prices have moved higher over the past three months as demand has continued to recover toward pre-pandemic levels. If prices remain a...
For the quarter, equities posted negative returns, with the US being the exception where performance was slightly positive, while the fixed-income markets were mixed. A closer look at the broad equity markets reveals that year-to-date, it has delivered generally rising returns with so...
In the current commentary we hope to address this October’s unique market ghouls and further how we think resilient portfolios should be oriented around them. It is likely that in time pandemic distortions and extreme base effects will ease, though not immediately, pulling aggr...
Last week, Treasury bond futures reached 1.7064% in overnight trading, while the high for 2021 so far is 1.7760%. 5-year Treasury yields have long taken out their 2021 highs, and 2-year Treasury notes have tripled their yield in 2021. In general, longer-term maturities, like 10- a...
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NEW YORK , Oct. 23, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Krane Funds Advisors, LLC, ("KraneShares"), a leading provider of China -focused ETFs, has partnered with acclaimed technical analysis and research provider, Nasdaq Dorsey Wright to launch the KraneShares China Rotation Model, designed to provide ...