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Summary The Fed is primarily concerned with what is happening with inflation. This earnings season will likely be filled with hiring freezes/layoff announcements, cost-cutting saving measures, and mostly downbeat outlooks. The West is working towards fresh sanctions and potent...
Summary The Economist recently highlighted numerous issues with the present state of ESG investing and how it is falling short of its intended goals. Investors face challenges understanding the nuances of ESG strategies and what the strategies they invest in are accomplishing. ...
Summary Slower global growth, a strong US dollar, global supply chain woes as well as domestic economic factors have created headwinds for EMs. The week-long National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (Congress) begins on October 16. Jair Bolsonaro, the incumbent preside...
Summary If Chinese exporters suddenly and unexpectedly find themselves unable to sell everything they have produced and had previously sold abroad, the unsold production will accumulate as unwanted inventory. Of course, this isn’t a sustainable course, and if inventories we...
Summary Global equity markets outside of the United States have completed a third negative quarter, with the MSCI ACWI ex US IMI Index down 11.26% in the three months through October 30. For the year to date, this index is down 27.19%, which clearly indicates a “bear market...
Summary Equity market volatility persisted in the third quarter as investors came to terms with a new reality of high inflation and rising interest rates. For most of this year, equity markets have violently traded on this unholy trinity of rising inflation, rate hikes and growth ...
Summary Average input costs rose at an increased rate for the first time in five months in September, hinting at stubbornly persistent inflation within the worldwide factory sector. Supply chain cost pressures and wage pressures eased, helping bring down factory cost inflation. ...
Summary Global business conditions worsened in the manufacturing sector in September. The JPMorgan Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index™ (PMI™) dropped below the neutral level of 50.0 for the first time since June 2020. Easing of supply chain delays we...
Summary While high inflation is seen almost everywhere, the Chinese central bank, PBoC is more anxious about meeting the economic growth target. Year to date, it has been keeping policies supportive by cutting some of its key interest rates, including the medium-term lending facil...
Summary The basic power division in China is between the Party and the state apparatus. The most interesting personnel changes will be those affecting members of the Politburo Standing Committee. Investors should be looking at more than the NCCPC for policy clues. ...