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Summary Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico, which account for 23% of global maize production, are experiencing substantial losses because of climate-related issues. Latin America is likely to resist any attempts to implement land distribution controls. Like their Latin American cou...
Summary The convergence of energy security and the climate agenda is likely to be a focal point at COP27. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has caused severe energy supply disruption in the EU and forced a near-term policy divergence between energy security and the climate agenda. A...
Summary Investing sustainably in emerging market corporates could be important to a the planet, and to finding fixed income growth opportunities. COP27, the 27th U.N. Climate Change Conference of the Parties to the Paris Agreement on climate, is underway in Egypt. The location...
Summary The acceleration of innovation in emerging markets provides reasons for confidence in emerging markets long term. Markets in Latin America have been the best performer in emerging markets (EMs) year-to-date, driven by the rise in the energy sector, which has posted double-...
Summary Powell pointed out that the yield curve is not inverted yet if you look at the 3 month/10-year Treasury spread. The 2-10 spread is more inverted than any of the most recent (Greenspan or Bernanke) inversions, but it has not gotten as bad as the Volcker inversions, which we...
Summary Today is Election Day. Since WWII, there has been a mid-term election cycle for the S&P 500 that commences in October and gains strength in November and December, so we should be just at the start of an impressive year-end rally. Above and beyond the special events awa...
Summary Global climate adjustment is falling behind in meeting the targets of limiting temperature rise to below 2 degrees Celsius and reaching net-zero emissions by 2050. Developing economies vulnerable to climate change are likely to undertake concerted calls for "loss and damag...
Summary The trend for the dollar and the 10-year Treasury yield is still up but, as I said last week, both appear to be hitting a short-term peak. US stocks were down last week but non-US stocks had a great week. The selloff in the dollar Friday goosed non-dollar returns by nearly...
Summary The US October CPI is the most critical data point in the week ahead. The November CPI will be reported the day before the FOMC meets again on December 14. The other report, the US monthly federal deficit, gets little attention from the market. There are th...
Summary In the year that has passed since COP26 in Glasgow, there has been a seismic shift in the global geopolitical agenda for climate and sustainability. Countries will report on their progress towards meeting the goals set out in their NDCs. While COP27 has received far le...